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п»їNFL football pool, pick'em, confidence picks for Week 3, 2020: Back the Buccaneers.
SportsLine's advanced computer model locked in the top office pool picks for Week 3.
Week 3 will feature star-studded quarterback matchups. Dak Prescott vs. Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers vs. Drew Brees, Deshaun Watson vs. Ben Roethlisberger and Patrick Mahomes vs. Lamar Jackson highlight the Week 3 NFL schedule. All five matchups feature spreads of five points or fewer according to the latest Week 3 NFL odds from William Hill, making for plenty of close NFL office pool picks.
Should you completely avoid these star-studded quarterback battles when locking in your Week 3 NFL confidence pool picks? A total of 14 matchups have one-score NFL lines in Week 3, but which underdogs are poised for upsets this week, and which teams should you target with your NFL pool picks? Before you make your NFL picks, you need to see the Week 3 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine's proven model.
This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span.
Now the model has simulated the entire Week 3, 2020 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick'em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them.
Top Week 3 NFL office pool predictions.
One of the top Week 3 NFL pick'em predictions from the model: The Buccaneers earn a comfortable victory on the road against the 0-2 Denver Broncos. Tom Brady recorded his first victory as a member of the Buccaneers last week with a resounding 31-17 win over the Carolina Panthers. Running back Leonard Fournette had a strong showing for the Bucs, recording 12 carries for 103 yards and two touchdowns. Wide receiver Mike Evans also had a big day, hauling in seven passes for 104 yards and a score.
Meanwhile, Denver suffered major losses on offense in its 26-21 loss to the Steelers. Quarterback Drew Lock suffered a shoulder injury and will miss Sunday's game against Tampa Bay, while wide receiver Courtland Sutton tore his ACL and is out for the season. In addition, Denver enters Sunday's showdown having won just one of its last five games against teams from the NFC.
The model projects that the injuries will be too much to overcome for Denver as backup quarterback Jeff Driskel struggles to put up points, resulting in the Buccaneers winning outright in almost 70 percent of simulations.
How to make Week 3 NFL office pool picks.
The model also made the call on every other Week 3 game and has strong picks for potentially close games like Bills vs. Rams and Vikings vs. Titans. It's also calling for a favored Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only see all of the model's NFL pool picks at SportsLine.


NFL Week 3 picks, odds: Browns get exposed by Rams, Colts show resiliency over Falcons.
Here's who I like in Week 3.
The football gods flexed their power in Week 2 by Thanos-snapping a few quarterbacks out of existence.
Ben Roethlisberger's season is caput, Drew Brees is slated to miss significant time as he undergoes thumb surgery, Cam Newton re-aggravated his foot injury and Eli Manning has been benched by the Giants for Daniel Jones.
This reshuffling of signal callers in the league has certainly made the picks that much more interesting as we enter this latest slate of games, but has also given a more clearer view of the contenders throughout the NFL at this point.
Pete Prisco and R.J. White joined Will Brinson on the Pick Six Podcast to break down all the games, hand out best bets and build a winning parlay for Week 3. Listen below and be sure to subscribe:
Titans (1-1) at Jaguars (0-2)
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NFLN) Point spread: Titans, -1.5.
Why does it feel like we get Titans-Jags on Thursday night like three times a year? Anyways, the Jaguars are coming into this contest after falling to the Texans in Week 2. While they couldn't pick up the win, they did a solid job at keeping Deshaun Watson at bay which should give the front seven confidence going up against Marcus Mariota. The most interesting man in the known universe in Jaguars' Gardner Minshew continued to show positive flashes in the loss.
Really, this game will be won on the ground with either Leonard Fournette or Derrick Henry as both clubs have struggled against the run in the first two weeks. I'm giving that nod to Fournette this time around as the Titans have allowed the seventh most rushing yards to this point in the season.
The pick: Jaguars 20-14 over Titans.
Saints (1-1) at Seahawks (2-0)
4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Seahawks, -4.
The Saints were handed a crushing blow with quarterback Drew Brees having to undergo thumb surgery. With him on the sideline for the foreseeable future, Teddy Bridgewater now takes the reins under center and has the tough task of traveling to Seattle to face the Seahawks. When he came in under duress for Brees against the Rams, Bridgewater didn't exactly look ready to light the world on fire, completing just 17 of 30 passing for 165 yards. Seattle is allowing 23 points per-game through the first two weeks, but has consistently found ways to win. This has the makings to be a pretty hostile environment for Bridgewater, a situation that I don't see him overcoming on Sunday.
The pick: Seahawks 27-17 over Saints.
Rams (2-0) at Browns (1-1)
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) Point spread: Rams, -3.
The Browns didn't prove much with their win over the New York Jets on Monday night as they were facing a third-string quarterback for the large majority of the contest. Baker Mayfield hasn't taken the leap that many expected to this point and it's hard to to be impressed by the 3-points allowed by the Cleveland defense against New York when factoring in the competition. The fact that Tennessee lost to the Colts in Week 2 makes that 43-13 thumping of the Browns that much more concerning for the AFC North squad. Los Angeles, meanwhile, will be the toughest test they'll face all year and it doesn't look like they'll be up for it on primetime.
The pick: Rams 30-10 over Browns.
Bears (1-1) at Redskins (0-2)
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) Point spread: Bears, -4.
Despite being 0-2, the Redskins have been able to hang around in both of their contests this season as quarterback Case Keenum has completed 69.1% of his passes for 601 yards and five touchdowns over two games. Chicago's defense has regressed some from last year's shutdown pace, but this will still be Keenum's toughest opponent yet. As long as he can continue to keep the ball out of defenders' hands, the Redskins should be able to make things interesting, especially with his fellow quarterback in Chicago's Mitch Trubisky limiting the Bears' ceiling.
The pick: Redskins 21-17 over Bears.
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Falcons (1-1) at Colts (1-1)
1:00 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Colts, -1.5.
It's obviously early, but this feels like a pretty important game for the Falcons. After coming off a dramatic win over the Eagles, Atlanta can either continue the narrative of their inconsistency with a dud against the Colts or they can take that momentum from the win over Philly and go over .500 on the year. Indy, meanwhile, has shown nice resolve in the wake of Andrew Luck's retirement and are enjoying their home opener on Sunday. Jacoby Brissett hasn't lit it up, but he's been solid for the Colts. Matt Ryan, meanwhile, has five interceptions on the year already after having just seven all last season. If he continues to turn the ball over, that may give enough mojo to the Colts to get to 2-1.
The pick: Colts 24-14 over Falcons.


NFL picks, predictions for Week 3: Packers handle Saints; Bengals bury Eagles; Steelers top Texans.
NFL game picks and predictions for Week 3 of the 2020 season are tricky now that desperation is setting in for the remaining winless teams.
Of the 11 teams that enter Week 3 with 0-2 records, all but two are underdogs this week based on the point spreads. They'll be fighting against those odds knowing an 0-3 start to the season is all but a fork in what a few weeks ago was the promise of a fresh start.
The pair of winless teams entering Week 3 as favorites to win are the Eagles and Falcons against the Bengals and Bears, respectively. Both have the advantage of playing at home. The odds also suggest the Dolphins and Vikings have strong chances to pick up their first wins of the season based on the tight lines for their games against the Jaguars and Titans, respectively.
With that as the background, below are our picks and predictions for Week 3 of the NFL season. As always, our point spreads are courtesy of Sports Insider.
NFL picks, predictions for Week 3.
Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars (-2 1/2)
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network.
Unless the Dolphins decide now is the time to start Tua Tagovialoa at quarterback, we can't see Miami outscoring Jacksonville in this game, especially if Byron Jones is out of the Dolphins' lineup. Gardner Minshew's strong start to the season combined with Miami's relative struggles defensively tilts the scale toward the Jaguars.
Pick : Jaguars 30, Dolphins 26.
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
This is a tough game to predict in part because the two-week samples for these teams don't provide enough information. The Steelers are 2-0 after wins against bad teams, and the Texans are 0-2 after losses to good teams. Houston will be in desperation mode, but Deshaun Watson can only do so much. The Steelers' complete roster and coaching advantages will outweigh the Texans' QB advantage.
Pick : Steelers 27, Texans 21.
Los Angeles Rams at Buffalo Bills (-2 1/2)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox.
The Bills have taken care of business in the division thus far with wins over the Jets and Dolphins, which is a good sign for Buffalo regarding its AFC East title hopes. This game will tell us more about the Bills' chances beyond the division. The Rams are off to a hot start, and Sean McVay's teams tend to play well in this early window for a west coast team. This feels like a toss-up.
Pick : Bills 28, Rams 27.
San Francisco 49ers (-4) at New York Giants.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox.
This is quite literally the last place the 49ers would want to play in Week 3. That has nothing to do with the Giants and everything to do with the field at MetLife Stadium, which may or may not have led to the alarming injuries San Francisco suffered last week when it beat up on the Jets at the same venue. Jimmy Garoppolo being out of the lineup will help make this a close game, but the 49ers will be the better team regardless.
Pick : 49ers 23, Giants 20.
Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles (-6 1/2)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
Barring a tie, one of these teams is going to leave Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday in an 0-3 hole and with the inevitable feeling that its hopes for the season are dashed. The spread suggests the home team should be an easy pick, but the Eagles' brutal performances in their two losses suggest otherwise. The trends for these teams are moving in a way that's good for Cincinnati and bad for Philly.
Pick : Bengals 27, Eagles 23.
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots (-6 1/2)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Patriots probably would prefer to win games they way they did against the Dolphins in Week 1, controlling the line of scrimmage and the game tempo with the power running game. But they proved in the Week 2 loss to the Seahawks they can compete in high-scoring games with Cam Newton's passing, too. The Raiders game could go either way, but the Patriots will be prepared regardless.
Pick : Patriots 30, Raiders 24.
Tennessee Titans (-1 1/2) at Minnesota Vikings.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
This is a surprising line even though the Vikings are 0-2 with a struggling quarterback in Kirk Cousins. Minnesota returns home following its clunker in Indianapolis last week and draws a team it's built to beat as long as the offense can stay on schedule. The combination of desperation and better ball protection should get the Vikings on the board with a win.
Pick : Vikings 28, Titans 23.
Washington Football Team at Cleveland Browns (-7)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox.
Washington through two weeks has proven it will not be an easy out under new coach Ron Rivera this season no matter its roster limitations. The Browns, meanwhile, are still trying to prove their relatively stacked roster can play well enough together to win on a consistent basis. Cleveland can't afford to drop this one at home and spoil all of the positive vibes that came from their Week 2 win over Cincinnati.
Pick : Browns 27, Washington 17.
Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (-3)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox.
The Falcons' unthinkable loss to the Cowboys last week makes it easy to forget this team, though winless, has been lighting it up offensively. Which makes Matt Ryan and Co. a tough matchup for a Bears defense that has been good-but-not-great through their two wins. Chicago will do some scoring against Atlanta's shaky defense, but not enough.
Pick : Falcons 34, Bears 24.
Carolina Panthers at Los Angeles Chargers (-6 1/2)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Chargers are dealing with a strange quarterback situation, insisting they'll put Tyrod Taylor back in the lineup if he can play following the chest-pain scare that led to rookie Justin Herbert's impressive first start last week. Regardless, the Panthers' chances in this game depend on Christian McCaffrey's availability, and he'll be out.
Pick : Chargers 26, Panthers 20.
New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts (-9 1/2)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS.
This is the biggest line of Week 3, which reflects how poorly the Jets have played through the first two weeks of the season. They have to at least compete against the Colts, or the calls for coach Adam Gase's job will become louder than they already are. The only chance for that, though, is a bunch of Philip Rivers turnovers, which is not out of the realm of possibility.
Pick : Colts 34, Jets 23.
Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks (-4 1/2)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox.
Fox's Game of the Week is a dandy, especially with the Cowboys riding the high of their historic comeback win over the Falcons last week. The Seahawks are coming off an exhilarating win of their own with a red-hot quarterback. This should be tight. We like the team former Jets safety Jamal Adams wanted to play for to edge the team he ended up joining via trade.
Pick : Cowboys 28, Seahawks 24.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6) at Denver Broncos.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox.
Todd Bowles' defense is not what Jeff Driskel needs to see in his first start in place of the injured Drew Lock. The matchup on that side of the ball makes what Tom Brady does on the other side almost irrelevant, though the Bucs' offense looked much better in Week 2 than it did in Week 1.
Pick : Buccaneers 24, Broncos 16.
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals (-6)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox.
Based mostly on the incredible play of Kyler Murray through the first two weeks of the season, this game for the Lions has gone from winnable to challenging in a hurry. Detroit's defense doesn't have enough to slow down Arizona, which will put Mathew Stafford in more bad spots.
Pick : Cardinals 31, Lions 21.
Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints (-3 1/2)
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
This game understandably will be teased as a matchup of future Hall of Fame quarterbacks in Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees even though the best players on the field might end up being running backs Aaron Jones and Alvin Kamara. The Saints will be missing the edge that would have been a prime-time Superdome crowd, which is a big deal against Rodgers. The Packers QB getting to use his hard count on the road in 2020 isn't fair.
Pick : Packers 30, Saints 24.
Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens (-3)
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN.
ESPN for years has been angling to get a better NFL TV package, so this "Monday Night Football" gem should be extra satisfying for the network. It's the rare big game where, barring catastrophic injury, the loser can't feel too bad about itself. The Ravens have looked better than the Chiefs thus far in 2020, so we'll take the home team. Kansas City obviously will be fine in the long run should it drop this one in Week 3.




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