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п»їCollege football odds, picks, predictions for Week 11, 2020: Proven model backing Florida, Indiana.
Derek Mason Vanderbilt.
The Week 11 college football schedule has been substantially thinned by concerns related to COVID-19. Fifteen games have been either cancelled or postponed, six of which involved a ranked team. The SEC was the conference hit the hardest, with four of seven scheduled games postponed. Three SEC games remain, however, and the Week 11 college football odds from William Hill show Kentucky at -18 against Vanderbilt.
Ole Miss is -12.5 against South Carolina, while No. 6 Florida is laying 17 points against Arkansas. Should you target any of those SEC lines in your Week 11 college football bets? And which other college football spreads around the country have value on Saturday? Before making any Week 11 college football picks, be sure to see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 37-20 on all top-rated picks through 10 weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $900 in profit already. Anybody who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest college football odds for Week 11 from William Hill and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head here to see every pick.
Top Week 11 college football predictions.
One of the top Week 11 college football picks the model is recommending: No. 6 Florida (-17) covers at home against Arkansas in a 7 p.m. ET matchup on Saturday. The Gators are coming off an impressive 44-28 victory against the Georgia Bulldogs last week. Quarterback Kyle Trask put on a show against the Bulldogs, completing 30 passes for 474 yards and four touchdowns. For the season, Trask has thrown for 1,815 yards, 22 touchdowns and just three interceptions.
Trask and the Gators are averaging 42.4 points per game this season and they've dominated the Razorbacks over the years. In fact, Florida is 9-1 in its last 10 meetings against Arkansas, and the Gators have covered the spread in eight of those contests. Arkansas, meanwhile, has struggled mightily on the road, winning just one of its last 12 road games. The Razorbacks will also be without head coach Sam Pittman due to COVID-19.
SportsLine's model is predicting that Trask will throw for almost 300 yards and three touchdowns as the Gators put up 41 points on the Razorbacks, resulting in Florida covering the spread in over 60 percent of simulations.
Another one of the Week 11 predictions from the model: No. 10 Indiana (-7) covers at Michigan State in a noon ET kickoff in the Big Ten. Few teams in the nation have been as inconsistent as the Spartans. They were stunned as 13.5-point favorites in their opener against Rutgers in a game the Scarlet Knights won 38-27. The Spartans bounced back with an upset win over rival Michigan, but then got blasted by Iowa 49-7 last week.
Indiana, meanwhile, has been steady, winning and covering in all three of its games. The model has considered that Michigan State is just 3-9 against the spread in its last 12 games overall and went 1-6 ATS last year at home. Indiana quarterback Michael Penix Jr. throws for almost 250 yards and two touchdowns as the Hoosiers take this one by double digits in the simulations, covering almost 60 percent of the time. The under (52) also has plenty of value since that hits in more than 60 percent of simulations.
How to make Week 11 college football picks.
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other Week 11 FBS matchup, and it is also predicting a major upset in the Big 12. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So what college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 11? And which Big 12 underdog will pull off a shocking upset? Check out the latest Week 11 college football odds for some of the week's most notable games below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $3,900 in profit over the past four-plus seasons, and find out.
Week 11 college football odds (via William Hill)
Saturday, Nov. 14.
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College Football Picks & College Football Predictions.
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2020 College Football Predictions.
The biggest theme of college football betting is finding the hidden gems. With tons of college football games heading into the weekend, there are always hidden gems that Vegas tends to miss. Thankfully here at Pickswise, the home of free college football predictions, we unearth those gems and breakdown our college football predictions for every single game. Our 2020 college predictions cover today’s action from the Power Five conferences, as well as those top-25 nationally ranked teams with our experts detailing their best predictions across the main college football lines such as the moneyline, against the spread, and points totals. Check back each week ahead of the big games for the best free college football predictions throughout the entire 2020 college football season and into the 2020 College Football Playoff .
Free College Football Picks Against The Spread (ATS)
The most popular college football bet is against the spread (ATS). Against the spread betting isn’t about picking a winner of the football game, it’s about picking the team who will cover the spread.
Against the spread betting is extremely popular in football and that’s one of the main reasons why it’s one of our most popular college football predictions on site.
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The Big Ten Conference is the oldest Division 1 college football conference and is one of the best in the country. It’s made up of 14 members based in Midwest & Northeast – Indiana, Maryland, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State, Rutgers, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Purdue, and Wisconsin. Plus two affiliate members – John Hopkins University and Notre Dame.
Big 12.
The Big 12 another prestigious Division 1 college football conference and is made up of 10 members based in the South Atlantic, West North Central, and West South Central regions – Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas Christian University, Texas, Texas Tech and West Virginia.
Additionally, the Big 12 has 11 affiliate members – Air Force, Alabama, Denver, California State, Northern Colorado, Northern Iowa, North Dakota State, South Dakota State, Tennessee, Utah Valley, Wyoming.
Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC)
The ACC is a Division 1 conference made up of 15 members from the South and Midwest Regions – Boston College, Clemson, Florida State, Louisville, Notre Dame, Syracuse, Wake Forest, Duke, Georgia, Miami, North Carolina, North Carolina State, Pittsburgh, Virginia, Virginia Polytechnic.
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The Pac-12 operates on the Western side of the country and is another Division 1 conference. It’s made up of 12 members – Arizona, Arizona State, California, California LA, Colorado Boulder, Oregon, Southern California, Standford, Utah, Washingon, Washington State.
Southeastern Conference (SEC)
The final Power Five member is the SEC which has 14 members from the South and Midwest regions competing in Division 1 football – Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Missouri, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Louisiana State, Mississippi, Mississippi State, and Texas A&M.
NCAA Football Today – Today’s College Football Picks.
At Pickswise we cover all of the Power Five NCAA football today, with full game previews, picks, and predictions brought to you by our college football experts. A typical college football season runs from August to December and preceded by the College Football Bowl Season and College Football Playoff, culminating in The College Football Playoff National Championship game in January. The 2020-21 college football season is slightly different, with the Big Ten and Pac-12 currently not planning to play football this fall, but our experts remain on hand to cover all of the NCAA football today, from the remaining three Power Five conferences, right through to the College Football Playoffs and National Championship game, once details of those become clear.
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2020 College Football Lines & College Football Odds.
When it comes to college football betting, the most popular college football lines amongst bettors are moneylines, particularly with underdog bettors and betting against the spread. You can sometimes get a lack of parity in college football scheduling and see college football lines of -50, with most sportsbooks not even offering college food odds on the moneyline for teams favored by that much. We bring you all of the best college football odds and betting lines, as well as our picks and predictions throughout the entire college football season.
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Our week to week college football predictions are the best ways to get a breakdown and insight into all of the games on a college football slate. We cover so many games, there’s always a hidden gem of value knocking around.
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College Football betting picks against the spread Week 16 2020.
STATE COLLEGE, PA – NOVEMBER 30: A football rests on the field during the first half of the game between the Penn State Nittany Lions and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Beaver Stadium on November 30, 2019 in State College, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images)
College Football betting picks against the spread Week 16 2020.
I'm really liking the longer regular season for college football. It's nice to have some college football betting going aside from just the quarterback-only popularity contest that is the Heisman Trophy. We have 21 games still going on this weekend. Let's win some money!
I had one of my best weeks of the year in week 15. I still am in a hole, but it's far less deep than it was. I'm afraid that there may not be enough games left for me to get out of it. Now we at least have a baseline for all schools. That makes it a little bit easier to pick.
In case you don't know what I do here, I pick every FBS vs. FBS college football game of the season. Big deal, right? Lots of people make picks. Well, I do them all against the spread! I take the odds of each game and average them out at all the Vegas casinos and round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.
I also assign a point value based on the confidence I have in each pick. 1 means that I have little to no confidence. 5 is one I would place a decent wager on. I keep track of my record and my points back from year to year.
Games involving FCS vs. FCS schools and FBS vs. FCS schools will NOT be picked. Most of these lines are off the boards at the major casinos anyway. This year there are less of those games happening, and if there is enough demand, I may take a shot.
As we all well know, this is not an exact science. Due to the volatile nature of betting in general, this is for entertainment purposes only! I cannot be responsible for the loss of money, possessions, spouses, or limbs because of my picks. I can't have that on my conscious.
The good spots were harder to come by this week, but there are still some spots I like.
Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports.
Friday college football betting picks week 16:
UAB at Marshall(-4.5)(2): This is a hard one considering how bad Marshall looked against Rice. UAB's defense is at least as good as Rice, and Tyler Johnston is back under center. I see why this line is falling, but the wrong team is still favored. I'll take the Blazers outright. I'm just lowering the bet a little because of the weather.
Ball State vs. Buffalo(-13.5) at Detroit(4): This is too low. Buffalo's defense is as strong as their run game. That's something else that Ball State doesn't do well….stop the run. Jaret Patterson and Kevin Marks are both in for big games.
Nebraska(-6.5) at Rutgers(2): I'm not sure why this line jumped a little. This is going to be cold and snowy and just outright miserable. That will neutralize Nebraska's greatest offensive asset, Wan'Dale Robinson. Nebraska is the more talented team, but that has meant absolutely nothing this year. Nebraska's defense is the better unit, but I don't like this spread. There wont be a lot of offense in this one. I'm still going Nebraska, but I wouldn't bet this.
Oregon at (13)USC(-2.5)(4): The cardiac Trojans are a thing this year. Don't pay attention to what happens in the first three quarters. If USC heads into the fourth trailing, fret not. They'll find a way to win it. Give me USC.
Jan 1, 2019; Pasadena, CA, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes mascot Brutus Buckeye at the 2019 Rose Bowl against the Washington Huskies at the Rose Bowl. Ohio State defeated Washington 28-23. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports.
College football betting picks afternoon week 16:
(14)Northwestern vs. (4)Ohio State(-19.5) at Indianapolis(5): There's no sense being mad. We all knew how this was going to end up. The Big Ten(14) would do themselves no favors by keeping Ohio State out of the Championship and a shot at playoff money. Greater good and all. It turns out that Indiana wouldn't be able to play Northwestern anyway. And honestly, it was an asinine move by the conference to impose such rules in a season like this anyway. All they did was open the door for controversy. That's all they need since there has been a firestorm around these bozos since August.
As for the game, every time we think Northwestern has arrived, they lay an egg. The egg this year was Michigan State. It gets thoroughly scrambled here. Ohio State wins big and makes it impossible for a committee that already has them fourth to keep them out despite only six games.
(10)Oklahoma(-5.5) vs. (6)Iowa State at Jerry World(3): Iowa State hasn't won a conference championship since they won the Missouri Valley Conference exactly 100 years ago. It's not quite Cubs futility, but they're trying. They may get to 108 yet because Oklahoma is getting revenge for a game they gave away in Ames back in October. BOOMER!
(5)Texas A&M(-13.5) at Tennessee(3): The Aggies need a statement win just in case there's some chaos in front or behind them. They need help because their biggest win lost at home to LSU last weekend. Their hold on five is tentative. A&M wont lose this game, and considering what a mess Tennessee is, they get their statement and cover this with relative ease.
Florida State at Wake Forest(-6.5)(4): This looks backwards. Lawrance Toafili makes the Seminoles a different team. So does Jordan Travis. Give me the Noles outright.
Washington State at Utah(-10.5)(5): What? Did the entire Utah offense get COVID? Not a chance. This is WAY too low. Lock in Utah this week.
Air Force(-2.5) at Army(4): Not happening. Army gets both legs of the Commander in Chief Trophy in Michie Stadium! They aren't losing this. Give me Army!
Mississippi(-2.5) at LSU(4): Are they expecting a letdown after the big win for LSU in the Swamp? I just don't see it. the Ole Miss defense is going to have problems with Max Johnson and Kayshon Boutte is just another in a great line of LSU wideouts. LSU outright at home. This also feels like a really easy pick.
Missouri(-1.5) at Mississippi State(3): The Mississippi State defense is light years ahead of the offense right now. Until that changes, I just can't take them. Missouri is good enough to win this. Give me Mizzou.
College football betting picks night week 16:
(3)Clemson(-10.5) vs. (2)Notre Dame at Charlotte(2): I really don't like the half, but Trevor Lawrence is probably worth two touchdowns on his own. Remember what happens when Clemson comes out hungry. I'll take the Tigers.
Minnesota at Wisconsin(-12.5)(3): I don't buy this for a second. The Minnesota offense is good enough to move the ball on most teams. Wisconsin hasn't moved the ball consistently since the Michigan game. This is way too many in a rivalry game. I don't know that Minnesota wins outright, but they'll come close if they don't.
Boise State(-6.5) vs. (24)San Jose State at Las Vegas(2): This feels high. I believe in the Spartans and have since the beginning. I didn't expect the defense to be this good, but I'm not surprised that the offense is. Boise is in for a big fight here, and I'll be surprised if they win. Give me the Spartans.
Illinois at Penn State(-15.5)(1): This feels high to me. It was a peculiar firing of Lovie Smith, so the Illini could be reeling. I'll lower the bet, but I have a hard time believing that Penn State is more than two touchdowns better than anyone right now, especially if weather is a factor. Give me Illinois.
Stanford at UCLA(-7.5)(2): The UCLA offense is good, but I'm not sure the defense can keep them ahead of a team like Stanford by more than a touchdown. Austin Jones is going to be a problem. Still, UCLA has playmakers all over the offense. I'll go Bruins but lower the bet.
Michigan State at Maryland(-1.5)(2): It seems like Eric Najarian can move the Maryland offense if Taulia can't go again. I'll take Maryland.
(1)Alabama(-17.5) vs. (7)Florida at Atlanta(4): Atlanta is Tuscaloosa east. It always has been. Florida's inability to run the ball is very dangerous in this game. Alabama is going to tee off on Kyle Trask with no legitimate run threat. This is low. Alabama wins really big and solidifies the number one ranking even more.
(23)Tulsa at (9)Cincinnati(-14.5)(1): I know that Cincinnati is capable of covering this, but if they come out flat like some teams with long layoffs have, they have no chance of covering. I'll take Tulsa.
Arizona State(-7.5) at Oregon State(3): The Sun Devils offense finally woke up last week as they punished Arizona in the Territory Cup. It's a different world in Corvallis, but not that much different. Give me Sparky, but the Beavers will put up a fight.
Right now I only have 21 picks for the weekend. I have a feeling we will lose at least one more, and my hopes of some being rescheduled seems unlikely. It is possible that Iowa could play Michigan State again, but why would Sparty go against a team that beat them by 42 six weeks ago?
I was a solid 3-2 in the parlay last week, but that's still a loss. I want a win! Here's this week's five, in order. Utah, Ohio State, Aladamnbama, USC, and Army.
Stay tuned throughout the season for every college football game picked against the spread! I usually have my picks up about 24 hours before kickoff in order to get the most accurate spread possible. If I change one, I will update the article and post on Twitter if I can.
I went light on both ends with two each of ones and fives. I have six twos and fours and five in the middle with the threes. For the first time ever in six years of doing this, I have palindromic picks. Hopefully that's a good omen.




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