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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs - Sunday 2/7/21 - NFL Picks & Predictions.
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Pete Prisco's Week 16 NFL picks: Rams rebound to upset Seahawks, Steelers and Saints get back on track.
Prisco reveals his picks for Week 16, including the Packers pounding the Titans to lock up the top seed.
Don't you just hate ties?
We had three of them with our picks against the spread last week, which meant my weekly record was 7-6-3 against the spread.
Of the three ties, all three should have been wins. The Texans, getting seven, fumbled at the 1 in the closing seconds. The Chiefs gave up a late score to let the Saints close to within three for a push, while the Washington Football Team lost by five, when in reality the number was higher than that because Alex Smith didn't play.
So that 7-6-3 record felt like a 10-6 mark for me, even if it doesn't count that way. My best bets on the Pick Six Podcast went 4-3 to up my season record to 53-36-1, tops on the podcast.
Let's keep it going with a good holiday week of picks.
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints.
The Saints have lost two straight games, but Drew Brees looked more like himself in the second half against the Chiefs. That will carry over here against a Vikings defense that doesn't rush the passer. Look for the Saints defense to get back on track as well. The Saints lost to the Vikings at home in the playoffs last year, but that won't be the case in this one. Saints take it.
Pick: Saints 27, Vikings 17.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions.
The Bucs are playing a second straight road game, but they are the class in this game. The Lions have issues on defense and Tom Brady will take advantage of that. With so much on the line, the Bucs will be focused.
Pick: Bucs 31, Lions 23.
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals.
This is a home game for both teams — since both are playing in the same stadium because of COVID-19 issues in Santa Clara. But this is technically a home game for the Cardinals. The 49ers are out of the playoff race, while Arizona badly needs this game. Motivation will be key. Kyler Murray will have a good day against the 49ers secondary to win it.
Pick: Cardinals 30, 49ers 23.
Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders.
This is a big game in terms of the playoff chase, especially big for Miami. The Raiders will likely be playing Marcus Mariota at quarterback, which is a plus for Miami. Derek Carr has been limited with a groin injury. The Dolphins offense should be able to move the ball against a bad Raiders secondary. Miami will win it.
Pick: Dolphins 30, Raiders 27.
Atlanta Falcons at Kansas City Chiefs.
The Falcons are playing out the string, while the Chiefs are cruising to the top seed in the AFC. Kansas City is back home after two road victories. The Falcons have blown a lot of big leads in games, but that won't be the case here. They won't lead by much — if at all. Look for Patrick Mahomes to light up the Falcons. Blowout.
Pick: Chiefs 37, Falcons 24.
Cleveland Browns at New York Jets.
The Browns are in the division race with the Steelers faltering, but they need to be careful here. The Jets played well last week in beating the Rams on the road. Cleveland is back in the same stadium after playing there Monday night against the Giants. They handled the Giants with ease, but this will be a little tougher. The Jets will hang around.
Pick: Browns 25, Jets 20.
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers.
These two are both alive in the playoff chase, which makes this a big game. The Steelers are struggling in a big way to move the football, while the Colts defense has lagged some the past few weeks. Something will have to give. I think Ben Roethlisberger will make some plays down the field that have been missing. The Steelers will pull off the upset.
Pick: Steelers 23, Colts 21.
Carolina Panthers at Washington Football Team.
If Washington wins its last two games, it wins the NFC East. Pretty simple. The Panthers are playing consecutive road games after losing to Green Bay last week. The Washington defense will get the best of Teddy Bridgewater in this one. Washington gets the first of two victories it has to have.
Pick: Washington 20, Carolina 14.
Chicago Bears at Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Jaguars can get the first pick in the draft with two more losses, but that matters none to the players. The problem is the players aren't very good. The Chicago defense will be all over Gardner Minshew in this game, which will lead to turnovers and short fields. The Bears will do enough to keep their playoff hopes alive with a victory.
Pick: Bears 27, Jaguars 13.
New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens.
This is essentially a playoff game for these two. They both have to have it. The Giants are playing off a Sunday night loss and now are out on the road, which can be tough. The Ravens seem to be getting back into form. Look for a low-scoring game with the Ravens pulling away late.
Pick: Ravens 24, Giants 10.
Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans.
These two are playing out the string, which is an advantage to the home team. The Texans are home for the first time in three weeks, while the Bengals are playing on a short week. Cincinnati put a lot into beating the Steelers Monday night, so this will be a letdown. Texans big.
Pick: Texans 34, Bengals 21.
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers.
The Chargers lost to the Broncos 31-30 earlier this season, so this is a chance for revenge. Justin Herbert is playing great football right now and Denver's beat-up secondary was torched by Josh Allen last week. That continues as we see a high-scoring game with the Chargers winning it.
Pick: Chargers 35, Broncos 28.
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks.
The Rams are coming off a loss to the Jets and now must win this game to have a chance to win the division. Seattle has been improved on defense, but I expect the Rams to come in here and play well. Sean McVay will get them back on track and they will limit Russell Wilson. Rams take it.
Pick: Rams 26, Seahawks 20.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys.
The Eagles are on the road for a second straight week with Jalen Hurts as their starter at quarterback. The Cowboys are suddenly playing well on offense. This should be a high-scoring game with the Cowboys winning it with a late touchdown. Dallas tries to stay alive in the playoff chase.
Pick: Cowboys 31, Eagles 26.
Tennessee Titans at Green Bay Packers.
This will be the running game of the Titans against the passing game of the Packers. Aaron Rodgers was just OK last week, but I think he will bounce back with a big game against a bad Titans defense. Derrick Henry will get his for the Titans, but they won't keep up. The Packers will lock up the top seed.
Pick: Packers 37, Titans 27.
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots.
The Bills have clinched the AFC East, while the Patriots are playing out the string. It's weird to even write that. Buffalo can still get the No. 2 seed, so it will be focused here. Look for another big game from Josh Allen. Bills keep rolling.
Pick: Bills 28, Patriots 17.


NFL Week 16 game picks: Packers top Titans; Steelers fall to Colts.
Around The NFL Editor.
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Gregg Rosenthal went 11-5 on his predictions for Week 15 of the 2020 NFL season, bringing his total record to 141-81-1. How will he fare in Week 16? His picks are below.
Sunday, Dec. 27.
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Cleveland Browns 30, New York Jets 17.
Can a 1-13 team have a letdown game? With the Jets having little else to play for besides the antipathy of their fans, the Browns should have few problems moving the ball. Sam Darnold theoretically also has a plus matchup, but he remains a quarterback in Year 3 who doesn't do much well, even when he's well protected.
Baltimore Ravens 30, New York Giants 20.
I'm not ready to fully yell "THE RAVENS ARE BACK!" because their defense has burgeoning issues and they are still missing their best blockers, but New York doesn't look like the team to expose those flaws. For all the deserved love the Giants' defense has received this season, they have fallen victim to two creative, diverse running games in the last two weeks. The Ravens will make it three straight.
Houston Texans 28, Cincinnati Bengals 23.
It's hard to overstate how well Deshaun Watson has played this season and how poor virtually every other component of the Texans operation remains. That's why I can't quite trust Houston winning easily on Sunday.
Chicago Bears 24, Jacksonville Jaguars 17.
Jaguars coach Doug Marrone says that п»їGardner Minshewп»ї and п»їMike Glennonп»ї are suddenly competing for snaps in practice again, which is either obfuscation or deserves condemnation. Much of п»їMitchell Trubiskyп»ї and п»їDavid Montgomeryп»ї's recent surge can be tied to the incredibly soft stretch of defenses they've faced, a stretch that continues in Jacksonville.
Kansas City Chiefs 34, Atlanta Falcons 20.
The Chiefs haven't posted a two-score win since they stomped the Jets in Week 8. The Falcons have been competitive in every Raheem Morris-coached game this season. These streaks are long overdue to end.
Indianapolis Colts 26, Pittsburgh Steelers 21.
Two of the best defenses in football vs. short passes against these two veteran quarterbacks could result in a lot of short drives. The Colts have a superior running game, superior play-caller and better matchups when DeForest Buckner and friends face the struggling Steelers offensive line.
Carolina Panthers 23, Washington Football Team 21.
I may regret picking a Panthers team that finds ways to lose games over a Washington team that has punched above its weight all season, but early-week practice reports indicate Dwayne Haskins will remain the quarterback over still-limited Alex Smith, with Antonio Gibsonп»ї's status up in the air. It wouldn't feel right if this dreadful NFC East were decided before Week 17.
Los Angeles Chargers 34, Denver Broncos 31.
п»їDrew Lockп»ї does too much. п»їJustin Herbertп»ї is not allowed to do enough in the Chargers' run-run-pass offense. This is weirdly the toughest game to pick all week, but it doesn't seem right for these Broncos, -18 in turnover differential, to sweep any team this season.
Los Angeles Rams 20, Seattle Seahawks 17.
Sean McVay is 5-2 against Pete Carroll. The Rams' offense usually knows how to attack Carroll's defense, while Russell Wilson had one of his worst days all year against Brandon Staley's attack in Week 10. In a Rams season where they rarely look like the same team two weeks in a row, this matchup sets up well for a bounce-back game and control of the NFC West.
Philadelphia Eagles 28, Dallas Cowboys 24.
Green Bay Packers 33, Tennessee Titans 31.
The Packers are 1-2 against teams currently with winning records, which is a weirdly small sample size. The Titans are 3-3 in such games and often part of the biggest NFL game of the week. In a matchup that is likely to include a ton of points and MVP moments for п»їAaron Rodgersп»ї, I like the Packers' pass rushers and physical cornerbacks to make a few more plays than the inert Titans defense.
Monday, Dec. 28.
Buffalo Bills 33, New England Patriots 20.
The Bills still have plenty to play for with the No. 2 seed in the AFC available, not to mention another benchmark, prime-time game for Josh Allenп»ї. Bill Belichick has been Allen's kryptonite throughout his career, with the Patriots holding Allen to 154 yards with a pick and a fumble back in Week 8. (Allen has three TDs, six INTs and just over a 50% completion rate against the Patriots in his career.) The Bills are a much different team and Allen is a much different quarterback these days, with Monday night likely to provide the latest proof.
ALREADY COMPLETED.
Miami Dolphins 27, Las Vegas Raiders 17.
Maybe it will be the Dolphins' special teams unit making a big play. Maybe it will be the Dolphins' expanding run game exposing a blown assignment by the Raiders. Maybe it will be п»їDerek Carrп»ї or п»їMarcus Mariotaп»ї making a killer mistake. Somehow, some way, these Dolphins always find a way to win against mediocre teams in ways that seem unrepeatable if they didn't repeat them every week.
Arizona Cardinals 26, San Francisco 49ers 19.
The Cardinals are arguably coming off their most impressive two-game stretch of the season. Meanwhile, Raheem Mostert is back out of the 49ers' lineup. Nick Mullens might need Tommy John surgery, with C.J. Beathard returning at quarterback. George Kittle oddly appears likely to return, but Richard Sherman is hurt again. This entire 49ers season has been an injury report, and this is a matchup they struggled with back in Week 1, when they were somewhat healthy. Scratch that: Their injury report was a mess back then, too.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34, Detroit Lions 23.
The Lions' defense isn't just bad; it's been decimated by injuries. The Bucs' offense isn't just streaky; it's "score 31 points with п»їTom Bradyп»ї throwing for 320 yards in a half after being shut out for 30 minutes" streaky. An avalanche of Bucs points will arrive sometime Saturday afternoon, whether it's early or late.
New Orleans Saints 27, Minnesota Vikings 21.
We are likely hitting the last few games of п»їDrew Breesп»ї career, a reality that has everyone around this Saints team tense coming off a two-game losing streak. Last week's version of Brees wasn't better than п»їTaysom Hillп»ї, but the rust may come off against a pass rush-poor Vikings team. More importantly for this Christmas Day revenge game, п»їKirk Cousinsп»ї' roller-coaster season looks primed to crash against a strong Saints front.




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