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п»їNFL football pool, pick'em, confidence picks for Week 3, 2020: Back the Buccaneers.
SportsLine's advanced computer model locked in the top office pool picks for Week 3.
Week 3 will feature star-studded quarterback matchups. Dak Prescott vs. Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers vs. Drew Brees, Deshaun Watson vs. Ben Roethlisberger and Patrick Mahomes vs. Lamar Jackson highlight the Week 3 NFL schedule. All five matchups feature spreads of five points or fewer according to the latest Week 3 NFL odds from William Hill, making for plenty of close NFL office pool picks.
Should you completely avoid these star-studded quarterback battles when locking in your Week 3 NFL confidence pool picks? A total of 14 matchups have one-score NFL lines in Week 3, but which underdogs are poised for upsets this week, and which teams should you target with your NFL pool picks? Before you make your NFL picks, you need to see the Week 3 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine's proven model.
This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span.
Now the model has simulated the entire Week 3, 2020 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick'em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them.
Top Week 3 NFL office pool predictions.
One of the top Week 3 NFL pick'em predictions from the model: The Buccaneers earn a comfortable victory on the road against the 0-2 Denver Broncos. Tom Brady recorded his first victory as a member of the Buccaneers last week with a resounding 31-17 win over the Carolina Panthers. Running back Leonard Fournette had a strong showing for the Bucs, recording 12 carries for 103 yards and two touchdowns. Wide receiver Mike Evans also had a big day, hauling in seven passes for 104 yards and a score.
Meanwhile, Denver suffered major losses on offense in its 26-21 loss to the Steelers. Quarterback Drew Lock suffered a shoulder injury and will miss Sunday's game against Tampa Bay, while wide receiver Courtland Sutton tore his ACL and is out for the season. In addition, Denver enters Sunday's showdown having won just one of its last five games against teams from the NFC.
The model projects that the injuries will be too much to overcome for Denver as backup quarterback Jeff Driskel struggles to put up points, resulting in the Buccaneers winning outright in almost 70 percent of simulations.
How to make Week 3 NFL office pool picks.
The model also made the call on every other Week 3 game and has strong picks for potentially close games like Bills vs. Rams and Vikings vs. Titans. It's also calling for a favored Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only see all of the model's NFL pool picks at SportsLine.


NFL Week 3 picks, odds: Browns get exposed by Rams, Colts show resiliency over Falcons.
Here's who I like in Week 3.
The football gods flexed their power in Week 2 by Thanos-snapping a few quarterbacks out of existence.
Ben Roethlisberger's season is caput, Drew Brees is slated to miss significant time as he undergoes thumb surgery, Cam Newton re-aggravated his foot injury and Eli Manning has been benched by the Giants for Daniel Jones.
This reshuffling of signal callers in the league has certainly made the picks that much more interesting as we enter this latest slate of games, but has also given a more clearer view of the contenders throughout the NFL at this point.
Pete Prisco and R.J. White joined Will Brinson on the Pick Six Podcast to break down all the games, hand out best bets and build a winning parlay for Week 3. Listen below and be sure to subscribe:
Titans (1-1) at Jaguars (0-2)
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NFLN) Point spread: Titans, -1.5.
Why does it feel like we get Titans-Jags on Thursday night like three times a year? Anyways, the Jaguars are coming into this contest after falling to the Texans in Week 2. While they couldn't pick up the win, they did a solid job at keeping Deshaun Watson at bay which should give the front seven confidence going up against Marcus Mariota. The most interesting man in the known universe in Jaguars' Gardner Minshew continued to show positive flashes in the loss.
Really, this game will be won on the ground with either Leonard Fournette or Derrick Henry as both clubs have struggled against the run in the first two weeks. I'm giving that nod to Fournette this time around as the Titans have allowed the seventh most rushing yards to this point in the season.
The pick: Jaguars 20-14 over Titans.
Saints (1-1) at Seahawks (2-0)
4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Seahawks, -4.
The Saints were handed a crushing blow with quarterback Drew Brees having to undergo thumb surgery. With him on the sideline for the foreseeable future, Teddy Bridgewater now takes the reins under center and has the tough task of traveling to Seattle to face the Seahawks. When he came in under duress for Brees against the Rams, Bridgewater didn't exactly look ready to light the world on fire, completing just 17 of 30 passing for 165 yards. Seattle is allowing 23 points per-game through the first two weeks, but has consistently found ways to win. This has the makings to be a pretty hostile environment for Bridgewater, a situation that I don't see him overcoming on Sunday.
The pick: Seahawks 27-17 over Saints.
Rams (2-0) at Browns (1-1)
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) Point spread: Rams, -3.
The Browns didn't prove much with their win over the New York Jets on Monday night as they were facing a third-string quarterback for the large majority of the contest. Baker Mayfield hasn't taken the leap that many expected to this point and it's hard to to be impressed by the 3-points allowed by the Cleveland defense against New York when factoring in the competition. The fact that Tennessee lost to the Colts in Week 2 makes that 43-13 thumping of the Browns that much more concerning for the AFC North squad. Los Angeles, meanwhile, will be the toughest test they'll face all year and it doesn't look like they'll be up for it on primetime.
The pick: Rams 30-10 over Browns.
Bears (1-1) at Redskins (0-2)
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) Point spread: Bears, -4.
Despite being 0-2, the Redskins have been able to hang around in both of their contests this season as quarterback Case Keenum has completed 69.1% of his passes for 601 yards and five touchdowns over two games. Chicago's defense has regressed some from last year's shutdown pace, but this will still be Keenum's toughest opponent yet. As long as he can continue to keep the ball out of defenders' hands, the Redskins should be able to make things interesting, especially with his fellow quarterback in Chicago's Mitch Trubisky limiting the Bears' ceiling.
The pick: Redskins 21-17 over Bears.
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Falcons (1-1) at Colts (1-1)
1:00 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Colts, -1.5.
It's obviously early, but this feels like a pretty important game for the Falcons. After coming off a dramatic win over the Eagles, Atlanta can either continue the narrative of their inconsistency with a dud against the Colts or they can take that momentum from the win over Philly and go over .500 on the year. Indy, meanwhile, has shown nice resolve in the wake of Andrew Luck's retirement and are enjoying their home opener on Sunday. Jacoby Brissett hasn't lit it up, but he's been solid for the Colts. Matt Ryan, meanwhile, has five interceptions on the year already after having just seven all last season. If he continues to turn the ball over, that may give enough mojo to the Colts to get to 2-1.
The pick: Colts 24-14 over Falcons.


NFL expert picks, Week 3: Who wins the Injury Bowl?
The injury decimated Niners and Giants face off and it’s all a mess.
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The Las Vegas Raiders beating the New Orleans Saints. The Kansas City Chiefs barely surviving a scare from the Los Angeles Chargers. Week 2 in the NFL was wild, and it’s only going to be more difficult to predict moving forward with the bevy of injuries that’s hit the league.
Let’s see how everyone picked this week.
Injuries are really going to show themselves in that San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Giants game. Both teams are more or less decimated, so it’s kind of appropriate that they’re facing off. The 49ers have no Nick Bosa, the Giants are without Saquon Barkley. It’s going to make that whole game a real mess.
Meanwhile the Chargers are almost close to an unanimous lock this week against the Panthers, who are really going to need to adapt their offense after Christian McCaffrey suffered a high ankle sprain and will be out a few weeks. Teddy Bridgewater has shown potential to keep make good decisions with the football and give Carolina a chance to win, but it’s hard to imagine he can put the team on his back without Bridgewater and lead the team to a win.
The best games this week could really preview where the end of the season will be. The Seattle Seahawks and Dallas Cowboys face off, both of whom figure to at least be a part of the NFC playoff picture, and potentially even the championship itself. Seattle gave us one of the best Sunday Night Football games in a long time, with an absolute barn burner against the New England Patriots that saw Russell Wilson go off with five touchdowns.
Meanwhile Monday Night Football might be one of the best games this season with the Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens showing off the class of the AFC. The Chiefs are coming off a bit of a scare against the Chargers, while the Ravens . well, let’s face it they’ve had a pretty easy road this far.
There are three games this week that the panel thinks are absolute locks: Indianapolis Colts over the New York Jets, Arizona Cardinals over the Detroit Lions, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers beating the Denver Broncos. It’s really tough to see any of these going different. Sorry if you’re a fan of these losing teams, but even you’ve got to admit it’s probably a long shot at this point. Especially the Jets. New York looks to be on full Trevor Lawrence watch at this point, which is ridiculous two weeks in — but yes, the Jets really are that bad.
SB Nation NFL Expert Picks, Week 3.
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