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Pete Prisco's NFL picks for divisional round: Saints sweep Brady's Bucs, Bills edge Ravens in thriller.
Prisco reveals his divisional round picks, including the Chiefs sending the Browns home.
The playoffs are supposed to be when the best rise to the top.
I didn't last week.
I went 2-3-1 against the spread for a disappointing week, although I did have the Washington Football Team and that spread bloated to 10 by kickoff. We had it at eight when we made the picks, so it's a push.
For the most part, it was a bad week. My season record is now 125-127-9. That, quite frankly, stinks.
Let's hope I can turn it around this week with a clean sweep. I do like this week's card and have been good in the divisional round in year's past. So let's go.
Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers.
This is the classic playoff battle of the No. 1 offense in Green Bay against the top defense in Los Angeles. What will give? If the Rams have a limited Aaron Donald, who has a rib injury, that will impact the defense in a big way. The single blocks won't come as much for the edge rushers, which will put a lot more pressure on the back end. The Packers were playing outstanding offense before the break, but the time off could hurt. Aaron Rodgers vs. the Rams secondary and Jalen Ramsey will be fun, especially if Ramsey spends a lot of time on Davante Adams. The Rams will likely start Jared Goff and his injured thumb, but there is a chance it could be John Wolford. Goff did a nice job last week off the bench against Seattle. The key for the Rams will be how well they run it against a Green Bay defense that has trouble with the run. The Packers defense did play better in the final four games. I think the Packers will be too much in this one. Look for Rodgers and company to move on.
Pick: Packers 26, Rams 14.
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills.
This will be a battle of two star quarterbacks, one who runs it as well as anybody ever has from the position in Lamar Jackson, and the other in Josh Allen, who has been outstanding throwing it this season. The Ravens will make no bones about what they want to do on offense, which is to pound it. They are averaging 262 rushing yards a game in their last six games. The Bills have improved against the run from earlier in the year, but this will be a big challenge. The strategy from coordinator Leslie Frazier will be something to watch in terms of trying to keep Jackson contained. The Ravens defense is back healthy now, which is why they impressed last week against the Titans. But this is a bigger challenge in facing Allen. This will be a close game, but in the end I think Allen will make the game-winning plays late to pull it out -- but it will be razor-thin close.
Pick: Bills 27, Ravens 26.
Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs.
The Browns impressed in a big way winning last week at Pittsburgh without coach Kevin Stefanski. But this is a whole different step up in terms of challenges. The Chiefs are the best in the AFC. The Cleveland defense struggled to slow Ben Roethlisberger and his passing game, which means Patrick Mahomes has to be licking his chops. I expect a big day out of the Chiefs passing game. The Browns can run it, which will be the plan. But those plans can get wrecked when the Chiefs get the offense going. That will put a lot of pressure on Baker Mayfield to make plays in the passing game. I just don't think the Browns can keep up. For that reason, the Chiefs will move on with an impressive offensive showing that will be a lot like their two playoff wins at home last year.
Pick: Chiefs 37, Browns 23.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints.
The Saints beat the Bucs twice in the regular season, and now get the chance for the hat trick. New Orleans beat up Tom Brady in those two wins, picking him off five times and sacking him six times. In the last meeting in November, the defense abused Brady. But Brady has come alive since then. He's playing great football. The Saints defense will still be a major challenge. They have been good against the pass all season, which will make for an interesting battle between those two units. On the other side, Tampa Bay's defense didn't play well last week against Washington. If it plays like that this week, this will be ugly. I don't think it will. But Drew Brees and Alvin Kamara will do enough to find a way to win this one. Saints get the sweep and move on.


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Pete Prisco.
Pete Prisco's Super Bowl 2021 pick: Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady make big plays in Chiefs-Bucs shootout.
Prisco says the Chiefs and Bucs will stay true to their aggressive natures in high-scoring game; here's who'll prevail.
2021 Super Bowl: Ranking every single starter for Chiefs and Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV.
The Chiefs have more top-end talent, but the Bucs are deeper.
Pete Prisco's picks for NFC, AFC title games: Aaron Rodgers sends Tom Brady home, Bills-Chiefs a thriller.
Prisco reveals his picks for the conference championship games, including a one-point game in Kansas City.
Pete Prisco's NFL picks for divisional round: Saints sweep Brady's Bucs, Bills edge Ravens in thriller.
Prisco reveals his divisional round picks, including the Chiefs sending the Browns home.
Pete Prisco's NFL picks for wild-card round: Lamar Jackson nabs first playoff win, Steelers send Browns home.
Prisco reveals his wild-card round picks, including a two-point game in Seattle.
NFL Power Rankings: Browns, Rams make biggest leaps from Week 1 to end of season, top 10 was eerily spot on.
Eight of Pete Prisco's original top 10 teams are in the playoffs; his preseason Super Bowl picks are still his top two.
Pete Prisco's Week 17 NFL picks: Cowboys make playoffs with Eagles win, Packers earn top seed, Jets upset Pats.
Prisco reveals his picks for Week 17, including the Eagles upsetting Washington to send the Cowboys to the playoffs.
NFL Week 17 Power Rankings: Chiefs, Packers same top two as opening week, Dolphins soar to No. 9, Colts sink.
Pete Prisco's preseason Super Bowl picks are still his top two, while a Week 17 full of meaningful games awaits.
Pete Prisco's Week 16 NFL picks: Rams rebound to upset Seahawks, Steelers and Saints get back on track.
Prisco reveals his picks for Week 16, including the Packers pounding the Titans to lock up the top seed.
NFL Week 16 Power Rankings: Seahawks up to No. 4, Rams fall five spots, Jaguars sink to bottom and have hope.
Pete Prisco says Jacksonville won by seeing the Jets jump above them, while his top three stayed steady.
Pete Prisco's Week 15 NFL picks: Giants, Cowboys, Washington all deliver upset wins in tight NFC East race.
Prisco reveals his picks for Week 15, including why the Bears and Patriots will contribute to an upset-heavy slate.
NFL Week 15 Power Rankings: Steelers keep sinking as Packers and Bills rise into top three, Ravens rebound.
Pete Prisco says Mike Tomlin will get Pittsburgh's ship righted, while the Bears and Washington soar up the rankings.
Pete Prisco's Week 14 NFL picks: Giants win again, Bears finally end slide, Steelers lose again.
Prisco reveals his picks for Week 14, including why the Steelers will lose a second straight after starting 11-0.
NFL Week 14 Power Rankings: Chiefs replace Steelers at the top, Browns up to No. 6, Titans take biggest fall.
Pete Prisco wonders if anybody is all that good, while a pair of NFC East teams rise the most.
Pete Prisco's NFL Week 13 picks: Titans over Browns, Falcons upset Saints, Rams rebound vs. Cardinals.
Prisco reveals his picks for Week 13, including why the Ravens will win on short rest against well-rested Cowboys.
Pete Prisco has covered the NFL for three decades, including working as a beat reporter in Jacksonville for the Jaguars. When he's not watching game tape, you can find Pete on Twitter or dreaming of an Arizona State national title in football.


Pete Prisco's Week 16 NFL picks: Rams rebound to upset Seahawks, Steelers and Saints get back on track.
Prisco reveals his picks for Week 16, including the Packers pounding the Titans to lock up the top seed.
Don't you just hate ties?
We had three of them with our picks against the spread last week, which meant my weekly record was 7-6-3 against the spread.
Of the three ties, all three should have been wins. The Texans, getting seven, fumbled at the 1 in the closing seconds. The Chiefs gave up a late score to let the Saints close to within three for a push, while the Washington Football Team lost by five, when in reality the number was higher than that because Alex Smith didn't play.
So that 7-6-3 record felt like a 10-6 mark for me, even if it doesn't count that way. My best bets on the Pick Six Podcast went 4-3 to up my season record to 53-36-1, tops on the podcast.
Let's keep it going with a good holiday week of picks.
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints.
The Saints have lost two straight games, but Drew Brees looked more like himself in the second half against the Chiefs. That will carry over here against a Vikings defense that doesn't rush the passer. Look for the Saints defense to get back on track as well. The Saints lost to the Vikings at home in the playoffs last year, but that won't be the case in this one. Saints take it.
Pick: Saints 27, Vikings 17.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions.
The Bucs are playing a second straight road game, but they are the class in this game. The Lions have issues on defense and Tom Brady will take advantage of that. With so much on the line, the Bucs will be focused.
Pick: Bucs 31, Lions 23.
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals.
This is a home game for both teams — since both are playing in the same stadium because of COVID-19 issues in Santa Clara. But this is technically a home game for the Cardinals. The 49ers are out of the playoff race, while Arizona badly needs this game. Motivation will be key. Kyler Murray will have a good day against the 49ers secondary to win it.
Pick: Cardinals 30, 49ers 23.
Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders.
This is a big game in terms of the playoff chase, especially big for Miami. The Raiders will likely be playing Marcus Mariota at quarterback, which is a plus for Miami. Derek Carr has been limited with a groin injury. The Dolphins offense should be able to move the ball against a bad Raiders secondary. Miami will win it.
Pick: Dolphins 30, Raiders 27.
Atlanta Falcons at Kansas City Chiefs.
The Falcons are playing out the string, while the Chiefs are cruising to the top seed in the AFC. Kansas City is back home after two road victories. The Falcons have blown a lot of big leads in games, but that won't be the case here. They won't lead by much — if at all. Look for Patrick Mahomes to light up the Falcons. Blowout.
Pick: Chiefs 37, Falcons 24.
Cleveland Browns at New York Jets.
The Browns are in the division race with the Steelers faltering, but they need to be careful here. The Jets played well last week in beating the Rams on the road. Cleveland is back in the same stadium after playing there Monday night against the Giants. They handled the Giants with ease, but this will be a little tougher. The Jets will hang around.
Pick: Browns 25, Jets 20.
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers.
These two are both alive in the playoff chase, which makes this a big game. The Steelers are struggling in a big way to move the football, while the Colts defense has lagged some the past few weeks. Something will have to give. I think Ben Roethlisberger will make some plays down the field that have been missing. The Steelers will pull off the upset.
Pick: Steelers 23, Colts 21.
Carolina Panthers at Washington Football Team.
If Washington wins its last two games, it wins the NFC East. Pretty simple. The Panthers are playing consecutive road games after losing to Green Bay last week. The Washington defense will get the best of Teddy Bridgewater in this one. Washington gets the first of two victories it has to have.
Pick: Washington 20, Carolina 14.
Chicago Bears at Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Jaguars can get the first pick in the draft with two more losses, but that matters none to the players. The problem is the players aren't very good. The Chicago defense will be all over Gardner Minshew in this game, which will lead to turnovers and short fields. The Bears will do enough to keep their playoff hopes alive with a victory.
Pick: Bears 27, Jaguars 13.
New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens.
This is essentially a playoff game for these two. They both have to have it. The Giants are playing off a Sunday night loss and now are out on the road, which can be tough. The Ravens seem to be getting back into form. Look for a low-scoring game with the Ravens pulling away late.
Pick: Ravens 24, Giants 10.
Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans.
These two are playing out the string, which is an advantage to the home team. The Texans are home for the first time in three weeks, while the Bengals are playing on a short week. Cincinnati put a lot into beating the Steelers Monday night, so this will be a letdown. Texans big.
Pick: Texans 34, Bengals 21.
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers.
The Chargers lost to the Broncos 31-30 earlier this season, so this is a chance for revenge. Justin Herbert is playing great football right now and Denver's beat-up secondary was torched by Josh Allen last week. That continues as we see a high-scoring game with the Chargers winning it.
Pick: Chargers 35, Broncos 28.
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks.
The Rams are coming off a loss to the Jets and now must win this game to have a chance to win the division. Seattle has been improved on defense, but I expect the Rams to come in here and play well. Sean McVay will get them back on track and they will limit Russell Wilson. Rams take it.
Pick: Rams 26, Seahawks 20.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys.
The Eagles are on the road for a second straight week with Jalen Hurts as their starter at quarterback. The Cowboys are suddenly playing well on offense. This should be a high-scoring game with the Cowboys winning it with a late touchdown. Dallas tries to stay alive in the playoff chase.
Pick: Cowboys 31, Eagles 26.
Tennessee Titans at Green Bay Packers.
This will be the running game of the Titans against the passing game of the Packers. Aaron Rodgers was just OK last week, but I think he will bounce back with a big game against a bad Titans defense. Derrick Henry will get his for the Titans, but they won't keep up. The Packers will lock up the top seed.
Pick: Packers 37, Titans 27.
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots.
The Bills have clinched the AFC East, while the Patriots are playing out the string. It's weird to even write that. Buffalo can still get the No. 2 seed, so it will be focused here. Look for another big game from Josh Allen. Bills keep rolling.
Pick: Bills 28, Patriots 17.




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