п»їCollege Football Picks: Indiana's big chance; FSU's big fall.
This Saturday, Indiana will play at Ohio State and Clemson will visit Florida State.
One of these games is a matchup of ranked teams that will go a long way toward deciding a division title. The other carries a 35-point spread.
As three-time national champion Florida State limps toward its worst season in 45 years, No. 9 Indiana will try to pull off the biggest upset of the season against No. 3 Ohio State.
The Hoosiers are in the midst of what could be their best season since 1967, the last time they went to the Rose Bowl. That 1968 New Year’s Day game against No. 1 USC was also the only time Indiana football has ever played in a game matching two top-10 teams.
Meanwhile, Florida State’s fall has turned what for years was the Atlantic Coast Conference’s biggest game into mismatch.
For six straight seasons (2011-16), Clemson and Florida State played with both in the Top 25. Each time, the winner went on to win the Atlantic Division and then the conference championship.
The last three seasons, the Seminoles haven’t stood a chance, losing by an average of 32 points.
The good news for Florida State is that basketball season starts next week and the Seminoles, who finished No. 4 in the tournament-less last season, are No. 21 in the preseason poll.
Indiana hoops is unranked. Strange year.
Tulane (plus 6 1/2) at No. 25 Tulsa.
Golden Hurricane last played as a ranked team in 2008, going 1-2 that season … TULSA 27-23.
Kentucky (plus 31) at No. 1 Alabama.
Wildcats play slow on offense and limit big plays on defense so maybe they can stay within shouting distance for a while … ALABAMA 38-13.
No. 9 Indiana (plus 20 1/2) at No. 3 Ohio State.
Hoosiers have already snapped a 24-game losing streak to Michigan. They have lost 25 in a row to the Buckeyes … OHIO STATE 45-21.
No. 4 Clemson (minus 35) at Florida State.
Trevor Lawrence is back for the Tigers, trying to make up for lost time in the Heisman race … CLEMSON 49-12.
No. 6 Florida (minus 31 1/2) at Vanderbilt.
Seems like a game for Gators QB Kyle Trask to pad his stats, but aren’t they all these days? … FLORIDA 56-21.
No. 7 Cincinnati (minus 6 1/2) at UCF.
Biggest test yet for the Bearcats’ stingy defense; the Knights are averaging 619 yards per game … CINCINNATI 38-35.
North Alabama (plus 47 1/2) at No. 8 BYU.
Bad timing: If the Cougars had this date open, they might have been able to get a game with idle Colorado out of the Pac-12 … BYU 63-10.
No. 10 Wisconsin (minus 7 1/2) at No. 19 Northwestern.
Wildcats tend to give the Badgers fits; Or is it Fitz? … WISCONSIN 24-20.
UCLA (plus 13 1/2) at No. 11 Oregon.
Coach Chip Kelly’s second visit to Eugene to face his old team; first one was a 21-point loss … OREGON 45-24.
Mississippi State (plus 25) at No. 13 Georgia.
There have been hints QB J.T. Daniels is ready to make his Georgia debut … GEORGIA 31-7.
No. 14 Oklahoma State (plus 7) at No. 18 Oklahoma.
They call it Bedlam but the final result tends to be predictable; Sooners have won 15 of 17 … OKLAHOMA 34-29.
Appalachian State (plus 5 1/2) at No. 15 Coastal Carolina.
For first place in the Sun Belt East … APPALACHIAN STATE 28-24.
Kansas State (plus 11) at No. 17 Iowa State.
Cyclones are 5-1 in conference - any conference - for the first time … IOWA STATE 30-17.
No. 20 USC (minus 3) at Utah.
Utes have yet to play this season, but they have won three straight against the Trojans in Salt Lake City … USC 28-21.
No. 21 Liberty (plus 3 1/2) at North Carolina State.
Flames already have more ACC victories (two) than Florida State (one) … LIBERTY 28-24.
Tennessee (plus 11) at No. 23 Auburn.
Vols are guessing and hoping at quarterback right now … AUBURN 27-13.
LSU (minus 2 1/2) at Arkansas - @SurlyGabe.
Razorbacks were a six-touchdown underdog to the Tigers just last year … LSU 35-31.
San Diego State (pick) at Nevada - @GaryWCE.
Mountain West contenders get the SEC’s afternoon slot on CBS after Ole Miss-No. 5 Texas A&M; was postponed … NEVADA 28-24.
Washington State (plus 1 1/2) at Stanford - @jonthecoug.
Cardinal looking to avoid first 0-3 start since they went 1-11 in 2006 … STANFORD 30-27.
Virginia Tech (minus 3) at Pittsburgh - @TK_on_the_Coast.
Panthers ranked No. 1 in FBS in sacks (38) and the Hokies are tied for second (30) … VIRGINIA TECH 28-21.
Last week: 12-4 straight; 8-8 against the spread.
Season: 108-44 straight; 71-79-1 against the spread.
Copyright В© 2021 The Washington Times, LLC.
College Football Picks: Indiana’s big chance; FSU’s big fall.
This Saturday, Indiana will play at Ohio State and Clemson will visit Florida State.
One of these games is a matchup of ranked teams that will go a long way toward deciding a division title. The other carries a 35-point spread.
As three-time national champion Florida State limps toward its worst season in 45 years, No. 9 Indiana will try to pull off the biggest upset of the season against No. 3 Ohio State.
The Hoosiers are in the midst of what could be their best season since 1967, the last time they went to the Rose Bowl. That 1968 New Year’s Day game against No. 1 USC was also the only time Indiana football has ever played in a game matching two top-10 teams.
Meanwhile, Florida State’s fall has turned what for years was the Atlantic Coast Conference’s biggest game into mismatch.
For six straight seasons (2011-16), Clemson and Florida State played with both in the Top 25 . Each time, the winner went on to win the Atlantic Division and then the conference championship.
The last three seasons, the Seminoles haven’t stood a chance, losing by an average of 32 points.
The good news for Florida State is that basketball season starts next week and the Seminoles, who finished No. 4 in the tournament-less last season, are No. 21 in the preseason poll.
Indiana hoops is unranked. Strange year.
Tulane (plus 6 1/2) at No. 25 Tulsa.
Golden Hurricane last played as a ranked team in 2008, going 1-2 that season . TULSA 27-23.
Kentucky (plus 31) at No. 1 Alabama.
Wildcats play slow on offense and limit big plays on defense so maybe they can stay within shouting distance for a while . ALABAMA 38-13.
No. 9 Indiana (plus 20 1/2) at No. 3 Ohio State.
Hoosiers have already snapped a 24-game losing streak to Michigan. They have lost 25 in a row to the Buckeyes . OHIO STATE 45-21.
No. 4 Clemson (minus 35) at Florida State.
Trevor Lawrence is back for the Tigers, trying to make up for lost time in the Heisman race . CLEMSON 49-12.
No. 6 Florida (minus 31 1/2) at Vanderbilt.
Seems like a game for Gators QB Kyle Trask to pad his stats, but aren’t they all these days? . FLORIDA 56-21.
No. 7 Cincinnati (minus 6 1/2) at UCF.
Biggest test yet for the Bearcats’ stingy defense; the Knights are averaging 619 yards per game . CINCINNATI 38-35.
North Alabama (plus 47 1/2) at No. 8 BYU.
Bad timing: If the Cougars had this date open, they might have been able to get a game with idle Colorado out of the Pac-12 . BYU 63-10.
No. 10 Wisconsin (minus 7 1/2) at No. 19 Northwestern.
Wildcats tend to give the Badgers fits; Or is it Fitz? . WISCONSIN 24-20.
UCLA (plus 13 1/2) at No. 11 Oregon.
Coach Chip Kelly’s second visit to Eugene to face his old team; first one was a 21-point loss . OREGON 45-24.
Mississippi State (plus 25) at No. 13 Georgia.
There have been hints QB J.T. Daniels is ready to make his Georgia debut . GEORGIA 31-7.
No. 14 Oklahoma State (plus 7) at No. 18 Oklahoma.
They call it Bedlam but the final result tends to be predictable; Sooners have won 15 of 17 . OKLAHOMA 34-29.
Appalachian State (plus 5 1/2) at No. 15 Coastal Carolina.
For first place in the Sun Belt East . APPALACHIAN STATE 28-24.
Kansas State (plus 11) at No. 17 Iowa State.
Cyclones are 5-1 in conference — any conference — for the first time . IOWA STATE 30-17.
No. 20 USC (minus 3) at Utah.
Utes have yet to play this season, but they have won three straight against the Trojans in Salt Lake City . USC 28-21.
No. 21 Liberty (plus 3 1/2) at North Carolina State.
Flames already have more ACC victories (two) than Florida State (one) . LIBERTY 28-24.
Tennessee (plus 11) at No. 23 Auburn.
Vols are guessing and hoping at quarterback right now . AUBURN 27-13.
LSU (minus 2 1/2) at Arkansas — @SurlyGabe.
Razorbacks were a six-touchdown underdog to the Tigers just last year . LSU 35-31.
San Diego State (pick) at Nevada — @GaryWCE.
Mountain West contenders get the SEC’s afternoon slot on CBS after Ole Miss-No. 5 Texas A&M was postponed . NEVADA 28-24.
Washington State (plus 1 1/2) at Stanford — @jonthecoug.
Cardinal looking to avoid first 0-3 start since they went 1-11 in 2006 . STANFORD 30-27.
Virginia Tech (minus 3) at Pittsburgh — @TK_on_the_Coast.
Panthers ranked No. 1 in FBS in sacks (38) and the Hokies are tied for second (30) . VIRGINIA TECH 28-21.
Last week: 12-4 straight; 8-8 against the spread.
Season: 108-44 straight; 71-79-1 against the spread.
2021 Outback Bowl odds, line: Ole Miss vs. Indiana picks, predictions from model on 56-36 run.
SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated Indiana vs. Ole Miss on Saturday 10,000 times.
The No. 11 Indiana Hoosiers will try to win their first bowl game in almost 30 years when they square off against the Ole Miss Rebels on Saturday in the 2021 Outback Bowl at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. The Hoosiers (6-1) have lost five straight bowl games. Their last bowl victory came on Dec. 30, 1991, when they shut out Baylor, 24-0, in the Copper Bowl. On Saturday they'll meet an Ole Miss program that is 11-2 in its last 13 bowl games and has won 63.9 percent of its bowls, which ranks second nationally among teams with at least 25 appearances.
Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook pegs the Hoosiers as 9.5-point favorites in the latest Indiana vs. Ole Miss odds, up two points from the opening line. While the over-under for total points scored is 67. Before making any Ole Miss vs. Indiana picks, check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters bowl season a sizzling 56-36 on all top-rated picks, returning over $400. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Ole Miss vs. Indiana in the Outback Bowl 2021. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and betting trends for Indiana vs. Ole Miss:
Why Indiana can cover.
Fryfogle is having one of the best seasons by any receiver in the FBS. The senior receiver from Lucedale, Miss., leads the Big Ten and ranks 10th in the country in yards per reception (20.2). He also ranks third in the conference in receiving touchdowns (seven). For his efforts this season he was named a third team All-American by the Associated Press.
In addition, Indiana faces an Ole Miss team that will be without multiple playmakers on offense. Receiver Elijah Moore, a first team All-American who leads the nation in both receptions per game (10.8) and receiving yards per game (149.1), opted out of the season before the Rebels' last regular season game. So did tight end Kenny Yeboah, who ranks fifth among tight ends in receiving touchdowns (six) and eighth in receiving yards (524). Ole Miss also may be without running back Jerrion Ealy and receiver Braylon Sanders due to injury.
Why Ole Miss can cover.
Even without those key pieces, Ole Miss has quarterback Matt Corral leading one of the most prolific offenses in the country. The Rebels average 562.4 yards per game, which leads the SEC and ranks third in the nation. A big part of that is their passing offense, which averages 344.8 yards a game, ranking sixth in the FBS.
In addition, receiver Dontario Drummond has emerged as a reliable pass-catching threat. The senior from Laurel, Miss., has caught a touchdown in four straight games. He also has 12 receptions for 195 yards in those four games. In 17 previous games for Ole Miss, he had just 20 catches for 300 yards and zero touchdowns.
How to make Indiana vs. Ole Miss picks.
SportsLine's model is leaning under the total. In fact, it says both teams will combine for around 60 points. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Ole Miss vs. Indiana? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Indiana vs. Ole Miss spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 56-36 run on its top-rated college football picks this season.
College Football Odds & Picks for Indiana vs. Ohio State: Betting Value on Buckeyes.
James Black/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Ohio State wide receiver Chris Olave.
We have a top-10 Big Ten matchup on our hands as the Ohio State Buckeyes host the Indiana Hoosiers on Saturday. The Buckeyes' rise to the top of the conference standings is very unsurprising, but the Hoosiers weren't expected to be in this position at this point in the season. Check out Collin Wilson's full betting preview with updated odds below.
Indiana vs. Ohio State Odds.
Indiana Hoosiers.
Based solely on the eye test, the Hoosiers are legitimate Big Ten contenders with an undefeated record straight up and against the spread. However, there is probable cause for further inspection.
Indiana has beaten Michigan State, Rutgers, Michigan and Penn State. If their records against each other aren’t included, Indiana’s opponents have a combined 1-13 record .
Head coach Tom Allen was a former defensive coordinator, and that side of the Indiana equation has been stable. The Hoosiers rank 18th in tackling, per Pro Football Focus grading. The team also reports a top-10 defensive Havoc rating, derived from 27 passes defended and 26 tackles for loss.
Indiana’s opponents are averaging just 2.4 points per trip past the 40-yard line, making Indiana one of the best defenses at limiting scores. Opponents have only driven past the Hoosiers’ 40-yard line nine times this season, with the defense allowing just five touchdowns on those drives in four games.
Ohio State Buckeyes.
The Buckeyes are the top overall team in Offensive Success Rate, with that overall rating breaking down to 17th in the rushing game and seventh in passing attempts.
Yet, anyway you slice it, no one is moving the chains better than Ohio State.
While Justin Fields is completing plenty of explosive plays through the air, an Offensive Rushing Expected Points rank of 75th exposes the breakaway speed of the Ohio State running game.
Running backs Trey Sermon and Master Teague III average no more than 3.1 yards after contact, which tells you Ohio State has been on cruise control without facing a quality run-stop unit. However, at some point this season, a defense that can play one-on-one coverage will give the Buckeyes issues.
Defensively, only the Nebraska ground game has been able to get a punch in on the Buckeyes. The Cornhuskers put up more than 200 yards rushing on the Buckeyes’ front seven, something Rutgers and Penn State were unable to replicate.
Ohio State’s 118th-place rank in defensive Power Success reveals a key deficiency: Any opposing offense that is successful in short-yardage rush attempts will handle the Buckeyes. Opponents have also been able to score when reaching the red zone, as Ohio State ranks 105th in opponent red-zone scoring percentage.
First-Round NFL Draft Picks a Rarity for Indiana, Now 26 Years and Counting.
BLOOMINGTON, Ind. — The first round of the 2020 NFL Draft takes place on Thursday, and there won't be any Indiana players drafted in that round, which will continue a dubious streak.
It will now be 26 years since a Hoosier was drafted in the first round. The last one to go that high was former wide receiver Thomas Lewis, who was drafted by the New York Giants with the 24th overall pick in 1994.
If 26 years sounds familiar, it's because we've mentioned that number often during the past year. When Indiana's football team won eight games in 2019, it was the first time since 1993 that the Hoosiers had reached that total.
That lack on high end, first-round talent coincides with the lack of victories, of course. And with Indiana's lack on history in football, it's really clear when looking at first-round picks. Since the NFL-AFL merger in 1970 — a whopping 50 years ago already — Indiana has had only five first-round picks ever.
The list is short — and fairly dubious, to be honest. None of the first-round picks from Indiana ever had an all-star kind of career.
Here are the five first-round picks since the merger.
1994 — Thomas Lewis, WR, New York Giants.
Lewis was taken with the 24th overall pick in 1994, and he played four seasons in the NFL, all with the Giants, but didn't have much of an impact. He really had only one good year, his third in 1996, when he had 53 receptions for 694 yards and four touchdowns.
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