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02/07 6:30 PM 101 Kansas City 102 Tampa Bay -3ВЅ -10 57ВЅu-10 -3 -20 56u-10 -3ВЅ -05 56u-10 -3 -10 55ВЅo-15 -3 -20 56u-10 -3 -20 56u-10 -3 -20 56u-10 -3 -13 56u-12 -3 -15 56u-10 Buy Picks.
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How to read Super Bowl 55 Odds.
The Kansas City Chiefs wil meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55 from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida on Feb. 7, 2021.
The Chiefs opened as -3.5 betting favorites while the Buccaneers are 3.5 underdogs.
After early wagers came in, most operators are holding Kansas City -3 (-120).
If you were to wager on Kansas City -3, you would have to lay 5/6 odds (Bet $120 to win $100) instead of your normal 10/11 juice (Bet $110 to win $100).
The return on Tampa Bay would be even-money (1/1) and a $100 wager would return $100.
The total or over-under on Super Bowl 55 is hovering between 56 and 57 points.
How to read NFL Las Vegas Odds.
The point-spread was developed to provide a balance for both teams involved in a contest to entice bettors to potentially back the weaker team and receive points. The two squads in a game are listed with a title, either a favorite or an underdog. The favorite is usually the perceived better team in the game, as backing them means giving up several points.
Ex. Bet $110 to win $100 (10% juice) Ex. Bet $100 to win $90.91 (10% juice)
It's not uncommon to see other values posted other than -10. Examples seen on the NFL Vegas Odds pages could include -08 , -12 , -15 and -20 . The -10 price is the most common value in the industry while many books offer reduced 'juice odds' and that would fall into the -08 category.
The lower-juice sportsbooks are normally found outside of the state Nevada. If you are in a state where sports betting is legal, please check out our online sportsbook directory to find the best and most secure places to make NFL bets.
Another number that’s posted on the NFL Las Vegas is the total or ‘over/under’ for the specific matchup. If the favorite is designated as the home team, then the total will be listed above and vice versa if the visitors are favorites.
All of the above numbers are listed next to the teams, and before each matchup is a Rotation number. The NFL Las Vegas Odds are listed in order of rotation and those numbers are generated and produced by the sportsbooks. Above each matchup and rotation is the Time of the game, which is subject to change. All game times are Eastern Standard Time.
NFL Open Line.
One of the best features on the NFL Vegas Odds is the Open Line. This numbers consists of the first betting line received from one of our Las Vegas or Global Sportsbooks. The opening line varies depending on the sportsbook but it provides a clear-cut rating that the oddsmakers use. If you’re betting on the NFL or any other sport, it’s a great idea to view the open line first.
VI Consensus NFL Line.
How do I bet on the Super Bowl?
We know that you can bet on the Super Bowl and all of NFL Futures or bet on the NFL Draft at any time of the year, but what’s the process? The future wager or the “Odds to Win” bet on the Super Bowl is correctly selecting a team to win an event that takes place at a later time. A bettor will have his wagered money tied up until there is an outcome and bettors will receive fixed odds when they place the wager. In the case of the Super Bowl, you’re not a winner or loser until you see zeros on the clock in the final game.
Most sportsbooks offer different ways to read to Super Bowl Odds. In the fractional NFL Futures Odds format below, you simply take the odds and multiply by the amount wagered.
Ex. Green Bay (8/1) to win the Super Bowl.
The Packers are listed as an 8/1 betting choice to win the Super Bowl. If you wager $100 on Green Bay to win the NFC and they capture the championship, then you would win $800 (8 Г· 1 x 100). Your online betting account would then credit your account $900, which includes your win and stake ($100).
If you are in a state where online betting is legal, we encourage you to check out our sportsbook directory to find the most trustworthy and reputable sites and mobile apps to place your Super Bowl bets.


2021 Super Bowl odds, line, spread: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers picks, predictions from dialed-in expert who's 16-3.
Larry Hartstein has his finger on the pulse of Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs.
The two most prolific tight ends in playoff history will collide in Super Bowl 55 when Rob Gronkowski and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers battle Travis Kelce and the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday. The 31-year-old Gronkowski leads all tight ends in career receptions (83), receiving yards (1,206) and receiving touchdowns (12) in the postseason. Kelce, who's also 31, ranks second in all three categories. Kelce is tops among tight ends in 100-yard receiving games in the playoffs with five, while Gronkowski is tied for second entering the 2021 Super Bowl.
Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS. Kansas City is a three-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Buccaneers odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under is 56, down one from the opener. Before making any Buccaneers vs. Chiefs picks, make sure you see what SportsLine senior analyst and resident Kansas City expert, Larry Hartstein, has to say.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. In the 2019 season, he went 58-39 on against-the-spread NFL picks, giving his followers a profit of more than $1,500. He enters the 2021 Super Bowl red-hot, going 22-12-2 in his last 36 against-the-spread NFL picks.
He also has had a keen eye for the tendencies of the Chiefs, posting a stunning 16-3 record on his last 19 spread picks involving Kansas City. Anyone who has consistently followed him is way up.
Now, Hartstein has set his sights on Chiefs vs. Bucs in Super Bowl 55. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and trends for Bucs vs. Chiefs:
Why the Chiefs can cover.
Patrick Mahomes could have a strong game against Tampa Bay's constant blitzes. The Buccaneers blitzed on 38.1 percent of snaps during the regular season, the fifth highest total in the league. However, Mahomes was the NFL's best quarterback during the season against the blitz, throwing for 13 touchdowns and earning a passer rating of 134.2.
In addition, Kansas City will have an edge when its kickoff return team is on the field. Tampa Bay was the NFL's worst team during the regular season in yards allowed per kickoff return (33.6). That bodes well for the Chiefs, who ranked fourth in the league in yards per kickoff return (25.8).
Why the Buccaneers can cover.
Gronkowski and fellow tight end Cameron Brate have a strong matchup against Kansas City's pass defense. The Chiefs allowed 954 receiving yards to tight ends during the regular season, which was the fifth-most in the league. That bodes well for Brate, who has 11 receptions for 149 yards and a touchdown in the 2021 NFL Playoffs, and Gronkowski, who had 45 receptions for 623 yards and seven touchdowns during the regular season.
In addition, Tampa Bay's offense excels in crucial situations. The Buccaneers ranked seventh in red zone touchdown percentage (68.9) during the regular season and 11th in third down conversion percentage (42.5). Meanwhile, Kansas City's defense was the worst in the league in red zone touchdown percentage (76.7) and ranked 17th on third down conversion percentage (41.0).
How to make Buccaneers vs. Chiefs picks.
Hartstein has analyzed this matchup, and while he's leaning over on the total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing it here.
So who wins Buccaneers vs. Chiefs in the Super Bowl 2021? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Buccaneers vs. Chiefs spread you need to jump on, all from the expert who's 16-3 on picks involving Kansas City.


Expert NFL Picks and Predictions.
Coverage: 1 Guaranteed Play Documented lines and time-stamped sports picks Selections displayed to public 20 mins after start of game Pay After It Wins: $49.95 per handicapper.
NFL Handicapper Records.
VegasInsider NFL Pick Packages.
Our expert handicappers offer Sunday, Monday, Thursday, Guaranteed, Monthly, Season and Postseason pick packages. Each package is sold separately and the number of picks varies from one handicapper to another. Some of the experts are very selective, only posting a few picks each week which caters to the low volume bettors who manage their bankroll very carefully. There are also a handful of high volume experts who will post double digit picks each week, providing value in terms of cost per pick. We require all experts to submit a minimum of 50-word analysis with each of their expert picks. Packages may contain any combination of picks including ATS, moneylines and totals. By clicking on a handicapper above you can view the matchups that are available in their pick package.
How Do NFL Against-the-Spread (ATS) Picks Work?
How Do NFL Moneyline Picks Work?
There is money-line betting in football in case you don’t want to worry about the point spread. However, the odds are adjusted accordingly for both the favorite and underdog. If you wanted to back Pittsburgh (a five-point favorite) but only needed them to win straight-up, you would have to wager $250 to win $100. On the flip side, if you have enough faith in Arizona to beat Pittsburgh outright as a five-point ‘dog, you can place $100 to win $200. There is a sliding scale on the money-line/point-spread correlation, with the favorite numbers rising relative to how many points they lay. A three-point favorite to win outright is just -160 (Lay $160 to win $100), while a seven-point favorite is a chalkier bet at -320 (Lay $320 to win $100).
How Do NFL Total (Over/Under) Picks Work?
Another option to bet on football instead of taking a side is to bet on the total. Basically, this is a cooperative effort between the two teams to either go ‘Over’ or ‘Under’ the posted total. In football, if Pittsburgh and Arizona have a game total of 47 ½, a winning ‘Over’ bet would mean the two clubs would combine for 48 points or more. On the flip side, a winning ‘Under’ ticket is 47 points or fewer between the two teams.
Today’s Free NFL Pick.
Gain access to your FREE daily pick provided by one of VegasInsider’'s expert handicappers. VegasInsider posts a daily free pick in one of the following sports – NFL, CFB, NBA, CBK, NHL & MLB! Subject to availability. Free pick will be posted by 3pm ET.


Super Bowl - Vegas Lines, Over/Under Picks and Predictions.
Welcome to my coverage of Super Bowl LV. You might remember that last season's article went over with great success, as I correctly predicted the winner and final score of the Kansas City Chiefs' 31-20 triumph over the San Francisco 49ers.
That expectation level will be challenging to meet for the second consecutive year, but I do hope that this article can help to provide insight and clarity into what I believe will transpire in an interesting matchup between two quarterbacks that have everything on the line when it comes to their legacy.
There are many moving pieces to begin any NFL week, so I will update this article as pertinent information comes to light.
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Kansas City Chiefs (-3) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: O/U 56.
For the first time in NFL history, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be hosting a Super Bowl on their home turf. That is a narrative that will repeatedly get mentioned as the week progresses, but let's dive a little deeper into what that does from a betting perspective.
Anytime you get a storyline that makes national news, it does produce a difference in how the public perceives the game. You don't need me here to tell you that casinos will be taking on a handle this weekend that outweighs anything they see throughout the year, but it might partially help to explain the early money that has pushed this spread down a half-point and into its new range of the Chiefs -3 (-115). I am not necessarily shocked that Tampa Bay money entered the market at some point before the game on Sunday, but I was marginally surprised it happened right out of the gate.
There are a few things that typically play into what derives a core rating for home-field advantage. We could go more in-depth into a multitude of facets that matter, but fans and travel are essentially the two main components you are looking at when constructing a story. It is why you hear about handicappers attaching a number to try and weigh the anticipated difference a team should expect numerically from traveling on the road, but the 2020-2021 season hasn't exactly been your usual setup. I'd argue that home-field was meaningless for the point spread for the majority of the year because of COVID-19, and I have a hard time placing much emphasis here - even if we are anticipating roughly 22,000 fans for the game.
Part of the reason I say that is because the brunt of the occupancy will not be die-hard Buccaneers supporters. Nearly 7,500 of the total tickets are being given to vaccinated health care workers, with the bulk of the remaining 15,000 going towards corporate giveaways. It is one of the reasons you can't find a ticket for less than $5,000 to the game on StubHub, continuing this vague perception of a nothing story turning into a selling point to back the Bucs. Perhaps you can add some level of relevancy to the fact that the Chiefs aren't allowed to travel to the stadium until a day before the Super Bowl, which does hold some merit since the Buccaneers players are already settled into their homes, but I find it hard to attach anything concrete since we are dealing with an essential bye week for both teams.
When we look into the Week 12 meeting between these two franchises, a picture gets painted of a 27-24 win from Kansas City that pushed on the spread and went under the total of 56 points. It is worth noting that we got absolutely no deviation from those two betting numbers a handful of weeks later, but it would be lazy handicapping if we just took the final result and used it as the sole objective of our research. Instead, let's look into how the game got to that finish and if we can find anything "off" from the final score.
The first statistic that caught my eye was that both teams combined for almost 1,000 yards of offense. That equated to just about 7.5 yards per play for each unit offensively and a robust 8.8 (Chiefs) and 8.1 (Bucs) per play through the air. Those numbers don't exactly translate to a game that should have ended with only 51 points and can probably be explained by Kansas City stepping off the gas after taking a 17-0 lead after the first quarter.
Unfortunately, that has turned into something we have seen far too frequently in the last half of the season for Andy Reid. The Chiefs were only able to cover the point spread once over the final eight regular-season contests and stumbled in their opening battle of the playoffs against the Cleveland Browns. A lot of the blame for the latter can be placed on Patrick Mahomes getting hurt in the third quarter and not returning, but it kept with the trend of negative second-half displays when the game looked to be out of reach.
Any form of conservation is a weird way to describe a Reid led unit because of the sheer gamble he exudes weekly. It is funny because these "conservative" routes are usually forgiven when the 62-year-0ld constructs a dazzling play late to help his team win the game, but the lapses of aggressiveness have hurt backers laying points. I thought Reid was self-aware enough in the Conference Championship against Buffalo to make sure nothing out of the ordinary took place, but it is deserving of a mention when discussing what has gone wrong from a betting perspective for gamblers that have found themselves on the wrong side of a lot of narrow Kansas City wins.
All of that is worth noting and fine when we are trying to construct what a four-quarter plan will look like for the defending champions, but the outlier here is that Tampa Bay is about as one-dimensional as you will get from a defensive unit. Defensive coordinator Todd Bowles is relentless when it comes to calling blitzes and will take risks that most teams aren't willing to gamble upon. That often has presented massive irregularities in anticipated outcomes because of the uncertain nature of this particular but certain structure, but there is a downside present when you face a savvy quarterback like Mahomes. We saw the negatives of that aggressive play-calling in Week 12 when Tyreek Hill accumulated seven receptions, 203 yards, two touchdowns and three catches of 30-plus yards, and I struggle to grasp the notion that we will see Tampa Bay deviate when it hasn't been in their plan at any point this season.
If we flip to an offensive look from the Bucs, we saw them run on 21 first downs last weekend against the Green Bay Packers - three times more than they passed. I do believe that is the preferred way head coach Bruce Arians would like to attack the Chiefs since we see their defensive unit ranked 29th in defensive rushing efficiency, but it is going to take such an aberrational first quarter for that to transform into a strategy that works. Arians would essentially need his team to jump out to an early lead in the same fashion they did against the Packers and allow his run game to work as a game-script controller that not only keeps Mahomes off the field but also provides Tom Brady with a better chance to find sustained success.
We have seen Brady perform nearly eight percent above his regular-season output on third down in the playoffs, converting an impressive 51% of the time. The sample size is a little too small to determine much from those numbers, but I do think it can start to show that the Bucs are overperforming in multiple areas. A reduction in red-zone touchdowns allowed defensively can be added to the equation for a team that seems to be getting the most out of their units, and it shouldn't hurt matters from a point spread aspect that the Chiefs rank as the worst team in the NFL in preventing red-zone scores. If Tampa Bay is winning, we should expect Kansas City to get even more aggressive. And if they are losing, there should be an opening for Brady to attack deep against a defense that grades out 23rd in explosive passes allowed.
Prediction: Chiefs 38 – Buccaneers 24.
Recommended Picks: Chiefs (-3), Over 56.
I've tried to make a case for Bucs in whatever way possible, but I view this as a Chiefs or nothing scenario. Yes, there are some offensive line injuries worth monitoring for KC, but Mahomes wouldn't be the QB I would blitz. You could point to his pressured completion percentage this season of 43.1% (11th best) as perhaps a reason that Bowles' gameplan might work, but that's where the lazy narratives come back into play. The 25-year-old views a blitz as a way to beat you deep, and he uses those rare occurrences to go for a home run when it gets presented to him. Tampa's aggressive nature on defense is one of the reasons why I think this game goes over the posted total, and it probably doesn't hurt their perceived plan to attack with Chiefs' tackle Eric Fisher all but out for the year. Keep an eye on the health of Antonio Brown, as the addition of him on Sunday would only help stretch the field and push this number over 56 points.
*** With thunderstorms potentially in the forecast, I don't think there is much of a rush to get in either of the two mentioned plays. The spread seems to be dropping - something I would monitor closely to try and get the best number possible, and the total should continue to dip with the news on the weather. It is one of those things where you just need to be proactive and on top of the movements to get the best price possible.




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