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п»їNFL odds, lines, picks, predictions for 2021 Super Bowl: Proven model leaning under in Chiefs vs. Buccaneers.
The Kansas City Chiefs waited 50 years to win their second Super Bowl, defeating the San Francisco 49ers a year ago. Led by superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs have a chance to win two straight world championships on Sunday when they face the NFC champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the 2021 Super Bowl. The Buccaneers, who will have the first home-field advantage in Super Bowl history at Raymond James Stadium, are three-point underdogs in the latest 2021 Super Bowl odds from William Hill Sportsbook.
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Sep 29, 2019; Orchard Park, NY, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) is sacked by New England Patriots middle linebacker Kyle Van Noy (53) during the second quarter at New Era Field.
The latest 2021 Super Bowl lines also list the Buccaneers vs. Chiefs over-under at 56 points, down a full point from the opener and just one shy of the highest Super Bowl total in history. Which side of the Super Bowl 2021 spread and Super Bowl 55 total should you back as you make your NFL bets? All of the 2021 Super Bowl odds are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best 2021 NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model also enters the 2021 Super Bowl on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest 2021 Super Bowl NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap 10,000 times, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for the 2021 Super Bowl.
One of the top 2021 Super Bowl NFL picks the model recommends: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers goes under 56 points. The model remembers Week 12 at Raymond James Stadium, considering that outcome a key predictor as to how the Super Bowl total will fall.
In that game on Nov. 29, Kansas City held off a fourth-quarter Tampa Bay comeback to win, 27-24. The 51 points also comfortably came in under that game's 56-point line, even though the two teams combined for almost 1,000 yards of total offense.
Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes torched the Buccaneers' defense for 462 passing yards and three touchdowns, all to wide receiver Tyreek Hill. However, Tampa Bay's defense has been stout in the 2021 NFL Playoffs, allowing 350 yards and 23 points per game. Kansas City's defense is giving up only 336.7 yards and 22 points per game in its last six contests.
The model says Tampa Bay quarterback Tom Brady will throw for fewer than 275 yards, while Kansas City will be unable to rush for over 100 yards as a team. As a result, the under hits in well over 50 percent of simulations.
How to make 2021 Super Bowl NFL picks.
The model has also made the call against the spread and on the money line, and it has exact player stats that can help you crush your 2021 Super Bowl prop bets. You can only get every pick right here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence during the 2021 NFL Super Bowl? And what will the exact final score be? Check out the latest Super Bowl odds 2021 from William Hill below, then visit SportsLine to see which NFL picks you should be all over, all from the model that is up nearly $7,900 on its top-rated NFL picks.
NFL odds for the 2021 Super Bowl.
Sunday, Feb. 7.


NFL odds, lines, point spreads: Updated Week 14 betting information for picking every game.
Week 13 of the NFL regular season was a pretty good one for underdogs. The undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers fell to the underdog Washington Football Team in the biggest surprise of the week while Washington's NFC East counterpart, the New York Giants, upset the Seattle Seahawks as 10-point underdogs despite starting backup QB Colt McCoy in the game. Meanwhile, the New England Patriots absolutely demolished the slightly-favored Los Angeles Chargers 45-0 in the most lopsided score of the year so far.
Heading into Week 14, the landscape of the NFL is a bit different after these surprising results, and sportsbook spreads are showing that. There have been some line movements already in favor of the three underdogs that won, and those victories are having a big impact on best bets for people gambling on the NFL or playing in picks against the spread office pools. It's always important to watch these line movements, which tend to reflect recent performances and key injuries, and try to capitalize when a line moves too much or not enough.
The biggest storylines this week, as always, concern quarterbacks. The Giants-Cardinals game will be heavily impacted by Daniel Jones' potential return from a hamstring injury. For the Jaguars, backup QB Mike Glennon will look to keep covering the spread after managing to do so in each of his first two starts this year. COVID-19 will also have an impact on this week's games, as the Panthers have numerous players on the COVID list that will be questionable including two of their top three receivers, D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel. If they are without any number of starters, the line for their game against the Broncos could change in short order, so people looking to bet that game may be best served to wait and see what happens there.
For more expert NFL predictions, check out Sporting News' picks straight up and against the spread for Week 14.
NFL odds for Week 14.
Below are the latest Week 14 NFL odds, including point spreads, money lines and over-under totals for every game, according to the DraftKings sportsbook.
Last updated: Sunday, Dec. 12.
NFL point spreads Week 14.
Game Spread Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins KC -7 Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars TEN -7.5 Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB -7 Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants ARI -2.5 Houston Texans at Chicago Bears HOU -2 Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals DAL -3 Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers CAR -3.5 New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks SEA -14.5 Indianapolis Colts at Las Vegas Raiders IND -3 Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions GB -9 New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles NO -8 Washington Football Team at San Francisco 49ers SF -2.5 Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Chargers ATL -1 Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills BUF -2 Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns BAL -2.5.
NFL money lines Week 14.
Game Moneyline Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins KC -335 Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars TEN -335 Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB -295 Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants ARI -139 Houston Texans at Chicago Bears HOU -129 Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals DAL -159 Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers CAR -186 New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks SEA -910 Indianapolis Colts at Las Vegas Raiders IND -165 Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions GB -420 New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles NO -360 Washington Football Team at San Francisco 49ers SF -150 Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Chargers ATL -120 Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills BUF -130 Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns BAL -141.
NFL over-unders Week 14.
Game Over/Under Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins 50.5 Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars 52.5 Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 53 Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants 46 Houston Texans at Chicago Bears 46 Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals 43 Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers 44.5 New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks 47.5 Indianapolis Colts at Las Vegas Raiders 52 Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions 54.5 New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles 43 Washington Football Team at San Francisco 49ers 43.5 Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Chargers 49 Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills 48.5 Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns 47.5.
NFL best bets for Week 14.
New Orleans Saints (-7) at Philadelphia Eagles.
The Eagles have benched Carson Wentz and are hoping some time off will help the struggling passer, who has thrown a league-high 15 picks and been sacked a whopping 50 times, to regroup a bit. As a result, they're throwing second-round rookie Jalen Hurts into the fire. His first career start will come against the NFL's top-ranked defense. The Saints have allowed just 288.8 yards per game this year and have allowed 16 or fewer points in their last five games. They should be able to give Hurts fits with their solid pass rush. Meanwhile, on offense, Taysom Hill has proven to be efficient and should be able to take advantage of the Eagles' porous back-seven. This could be a blowout for the Saints, as Hurts may endure some growing pains against such a great defense, so the Saints feel like a safe bet to win big here.
The Chargers got blown out by the Patriots last week at home 45-0, so this may seem like a strange pick at first. However, nine of their 12 games this season have been decided by single-digit points, so that type of loss was an aberration for the team. They should bounce back in a much more favorable matchup, as the Falcons have some exploitable holes on their defense. They lack a quality pass rush and have a fairly weak secondary, so the Chargers should be able to move the ball and score a lot. They'll let up some points to the Falcons in this one too, but it should be close and the Chargers could win. We'll take the points here, especially since the Chargers should be motivated to prove that their team is a lot better than their blowout loss in Week 13 indicates.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5) vs. Minnesota Vikings.
There's a lot to like about the Bucs in this matchup. They've had a bye week off to rest and get healthy, and Tom Brady is 14-4 straight up coming off a bye, meaning the Buccaneers are likely to win this game. The Bucs also lost before their bye week and during his career, Brady is a remarkable 46-21 against the spread after a bye. Couple those trends with the fact that Dalvin Cook might struggle to run the ball on the Bucs' top-ranked run defense, and the Bucs should have a chance to win this one handily. Betting on them to win by a TD seems like a good investment.




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