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п»ї2021 Super Bowl Betting Insights: Action on Buccaneers tightens spread vs. Chiefs.
Super Bowl odds, lines, spread, picks and predictions.
By SportsbookWire Staff February 6, 2021 3:47 pm.
By SportsbookWire Staff | February 6, 2021 3:47 pm.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs are set to play in the 2021 Super Bowl Sunday with kickoff scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. SportsbookWire has you covered with picks and predictions for all the best bets in Super Bowl LV . Below, we’ll look at the updated odds and lines for the Big Game, break down the line movement at BetMGM Sportsbook and highlight some of the biggest bets placed on Super Bowl 55 .
This is expected to be one of the most-heavily bet Super Bowls ever with the spreading legalization of online and mobile sports betting at legal sportsbooks in the United States.
2021 Super Bowl odds and lines.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 3:40 p.m. ET.
Special Betting Promotion!
BET $1, WIN $100 (in free bets) if the team you bet on in the Big Game wins. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet on the Big Game now!
2021 Super Bowl line movement.
Super Bowl spread.
The Chiefs are the public’s favorite for Super Bowl 55 with 60% of against the spread bets placed on Kansas City. The Chiefs opened as 3.5-point favorites but some big bets placed on the Buccaneers have dropped the line to a flat 3 points with 52% of the 2021 Super Bowl betting handle placed on Tampa Bay.
The Chiefs still need to win by at least 4 points in order to cover the spread. A win by exactly 3 points now results in a push and all ATS bets being refunded instead of a 3-point loss counting as an ATS win for the Buccaneers.
Super Bowl Over/Under.
Unlike the spread, sharps and the public are aligned with the total. BetMGM reports 66% of O/U tickets and 62% of the handle are both on the Over; however, the line has dropped from an opener of 57.5 to 56.5.
The Chiefs and Buccaneers combining to score 57 or more points is a win for those holding Over tickets on the current total and a final score adding up to 56 or fewer points is a win for the Under.
Special NFL Betting Offer.
BET $1 on Buccaneers money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if Tom Brady throws a TD pass against the Chiefs. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet on Bucs now!
2021 Super Bowl notable bets.
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Sports Betting 101: What does the point spread mean, and why do people bet it?
As a fan, you don’t care if your team wins by a point or 100. A win is a win, though that 100-point win would be a little easier on the nerves.
In sports betting, how much a team wins by is usually all that matters.
The most popular way to bet for the two most popular sports, basketball and football, is with the point spread, also known as the “side.” Most baseball, hockey and soccer bets are on the moneyline, which is betting on a team to win straight up with adjusted odds. Football and basketball have moneyline bets available too, but most people will take the point spread.
The concept can be a bit confusing if you’ve never dabbled in sports betting before.
Why bet with the point spread?
The point spread was created to attract more action on a game. When the San Francisco 49ers are expected to blow out the Arizona Cardinals, it’s not enticing to lay $300 to win $100 on a moneyline. But when the 49ers are 11-point favorites and each side is -110 odds? That’s much easier.
Nothing sharpens your math skills better than trying to figure out how big your lead as a bettor is if you have a 22.5-point basketball underdog that is losing 90-72.
The problem with the point spread can be when a team — which really doesn’t care that you bet the favorite at -11 — has a 14-point lead but gives up a meaningless score at the end to win by only seven points. They’re still happy with the win. You, as a bettor, are not.
В© Provided by Yahoo! Sports Sportsbooks have large boards that display point spreads for all games that day. (AP Photo/John Locher, File)
Point spreads lead to bad beats.
The most infamous example of a bad beat with the point spread probably came in the 2004 Final Four at the NCAA men’s basketball tournament.
Duke was a 2.5-point underdog against UConn. The Huskies rallied late and took a 79-75 lead on a free throw with 3.2 seconds left. The game itself was over; Duke couldn’t score twice in a few seconds. But Duke guard Chris Duhon pulled up for a running 3-pointer just over the half-court line and banked it in at the buzzer. Duke lost 79-78, but bettors who had Duke and 2.5 points won. March Madness is a huge event for bettors, and reports at the time estimated that Duhon’s “meaningless” shot resulted in a $30 or $40 million swing in Nevada. UConn players celebrated at the final buzzer. UConn bettors doubled over in pain. That’s the difference between betting the moneyline and the point spread.
Baseball and hockey have point spreads too, the “run line” in baseball and “puck line” in hockey. It’s generally 1.5 with odds adjusting accordingly. Taking a big baseball favorite at -1.5 runs can make the odds more palatable. Of course, betting the New York Yankees at -1.5 to bring down the odds from -190 to -110 isn’t too fun when they win 4-3 and you don’t cash a bet.
Betting on the point spread is the most common way to wager on sports. And the first time you take a favorite that wins the game but doesn’t cover the spread, you’ll understand every bettor’s heartbreak.


Point Spreads in Sports Betting.
Understanding Point Spreads in Football and Basketball.
Sports betting would be easy — or maybe just easier — if all that was required was to correctly pick the winning team. Gambling institutions, sportsbooks and bookies fall back on point spreads to make the process a little more difficult and to create the ultimate wagering challenge. You'll need a solid understanding of the point spread system if you hope to have a profitable season.
How the Point Spread Works.
The point spread is a handicap placed on one team for betting purposes only, it has no place in the game itself. It's designed to give both teams an equal chance at winning in the context of wagers. Think of it this way: If last season's Super Bowl champion was playing a basement-dweller team that hadn't won a game all year, that's a shoo-in bet. Of course, you're going to take the Super Bowl champs, and in all likelihood, you're going to win. What's the fun in that? Even your bragging rights would be next to nil.
But what if the basement-dweller team was spotted 24 points? That's the concept behind the point spread. When two teams meet on the football field or a basketball court, one team is typically better than the other. If all bettors had to do was to pick the winning team, everybody would simply wager on the best team and collect their money. Gambling institutions, sportsbooks, and bookies would soon go broke.
A Real Life Example.
The Carolina Panthers played the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl 50. Few people doubted that Carolina was the better of the two teams, so the majority of bettors would have taken the Panthers if they had only been required to pick the winning team.
If Carolina were to win 24-17, Panthers' bettors would win their wager. If the Panthers were to win 21-17, Carolina bettors would lose because they did not win by more than those 6 points.
If you bet the underdog, you'd win your bet if the Broncos won the game outright or if they lost by 5 points or less. Because the Broncos are the underdogs, we would add 6 points to their final score for betting purposes.
If the Panthers were to win the game by exactly 6 points, 23-17, it would be a tie and all wagers would be refunded to bettors.
Money Lines Vs. Point Spreads.
You'll also usually be given the option to wager on the game with the money line in football and basketball. In this case, all you have to do is pick the winner of the contest, but there's one drawback. If you bet on the team that's expected to win, you can find yourself risking much more money than you stand to win. Each team is assigned odds, much like in a horse race where a 2-1 favorite will pay out much less than a 15-1 longshot. This method also evens the playing field for bookies, sportsbooks and other gambling institutions.
Deciding when to bet using the point spread and when to use the money line is just one of the decisions bettors have to make on an ongoing basis if they want to play the game. There are no rules etched in stone.


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Sports Betting 101: What is a point spread in sports betting?
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Understanding the different types of betting options is crucial when you’re getting a start as a first-time sports bettor.
The Point Spread: Betting the spread.
For those new to sports betting, the point spread is the simplest, most straightforward approach to placing wagers.
Sports books set a predetermined margin of points on a game and a team must win – or not lose – by that set number. That’s why you’ll often hear people say the team won, but they “didn’t cover the spread” so their bet still came up short.
It’s not a matter of a team winning or losing like in a moneyline bet.
For a favorite: The favorite must win by more than the point spread. For an underdog: The underdog must outright win OR lose by fewer than the point spread.
Sports books aren’t in the business of predicting who will win or lose games. Their goal is setting a pre-game point spread with the intention to generate an equal amount of betting action/volume on both sides of the ledger – as much total money being bet on the favorite as on the underdog.
Related.
Betting 101: What is over under sports betting?
Betting 101: What is a money line bet in sports betting?
The vast majority of point spread wagers are made on football and basketball because of the proliferation of points that are scored in comparison to sports like baseball and hockey, where 1-0 or 2-1 games aren’t that out of the question or out of the norm. There’s one every night.
For example, the New England Patriots are playing the New York Jets and New England is a 9½-point favorite. Bettors typically have to spend $110 or so to win $100 with sports books, known as “the house edge/advantage.” With a point spread bet, simply having a team win the game isn’t the key. The critical factor to betting a point spread is how much a team wins or loses by. If a wager is placed on New England – “laying” the 9½ points – the Patriots need to win the game by 10 or more points for that bet to pay off. If New England wins 28-20, those betting on the Jets plus 9½ points (points added to their final total) win the bet.
The same general rules apply for basketball and are quite easy to follow because of the inherent simplicity of the bet. When it comes to betting sports like baseball and hockey, the standard bets are made on the “money line” – an established number for both teams to win the game outright.
What makes point spread bets attractive are the fluid nature of each game – it’s a reality show that, when done right, is inexplicable. Games change on one play and momentum is a thing. But, when it comes to point spread betting, you know where you stand at every moment.
For those just starting out, the simplest form of gambling is betting the spread because it’s the easiest to explain and understand, which explains why it is the most popular form of sports wagering.


Point Spread in Sports Betting: Definition, Examples, How to Make a Super Bowl Spread Bet.
Jamie Squire/Getty Images. Pictured: Travis Kelce.
Learn about point spreads in football betting ahead of Super Bowl 55 between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The point spread is the great equalizer, giving every team an equal chance to cash a bet for you.
It’s impossible to separate sports betting in America and the point spread . They will forever be linked.
Point spreads are most commonly associated with higher-scoring sports like basketball and football, but can be used in any sport.
They’re the great equalizer, allowing bettors to wager on even the worst teams with some confidence.
So what is a point spread, how do you read it, and how to you make a spread bet? Let’s dive in.
What Is a Point Spread?
Click a section to jump ahead. 1. Point Spread Definition 2. Point Spread Examples, How it Works 3. What Does -110 Mean Next to the Spread? 4. How to Make a Spread Bet.
Point Spread Definition.
A point spread is a bet on the margin of victory in a game.
The stronger team or player will be favored by a certain number of points, depending on the perceived gap in ability between the two teams.
A minus sign (-) means that team is the favorite.
Here’s how DraftKings displays its point spreads for football, with the point spread boxed in red.
Point Spread Examples, How it Works.
Let’s use Ohio State at Penn State in college football as an example of how point spreads work.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are -6.5, meaning they’re the favorite. Remember that minus sign means they’re favored, and therefore the perceived stronger team.
The Buckeyes need to win by 7 points or more for their bettors to win.
What Does -110 Mean Next to the Spread?
You can read more about how to read American odds, but the number next to the spread is the juice associated with that bet. Most spread bets will be -110, so the sportsbook takes a 10% cut.
That means for every $1 you want to win, you have to risk $1.10. So if you want to win $20 on a bet, you’ll have to risk $22.
If you bet $22 on Ohio State -6.5 and the Buckeyes win by 10, you’ll win $20. If they only win by 5, you lose $22.
Point spreads have an even tax on both sides because we expect each team to cover the point spread about 50% of the time.
When betting moneylines — which requires you to pick the winner straight-up — you can get bigger payouts because the likelihood of the worse team winning the game outright is much lower than it just covering the spread.
How Do I Make a Spread Bet?
It’s easy to bet point spreads at a book like FanDuel or DraftKings. Here’s how it works:
Navigate to your desired sport. Click on the spread you want to bet in the game module (it will be lined up with the team you want to bet). Head to the bet slip on the right side of the page (on your phone, it will pop up automatically). Click “Login to Place Bet” and login, then submit your bet.
How Are Point Spreads Made?
We could write another 5,000 words about how point spreads are truly made, but in the simplest terms, it’s a 3-step process.
Oddsmakers build mathematically-driven ratings for each team before the season and continue to tweak them as games are played. They use those ratings, plus factors like home-field advantage, rest, and injuries, to create a point spread in advance of a scheduled game. Bettors then begin wagering on that initial point spread, which will influence the spread and move it to the most accurate possible number.
What Does Covering the Spread Mean?
“Covering the spread” is another way to say that a team won a point spread bet. In the above example, Ohio State winning by 7 points or more as a -6.5 favorite means they covered the spread.
If Penn State lost by 6 points or fewer, or won the game, they covered the spread.
ATS Definition.
What does it mean when a team is 9-2 ATS this season? ATS stands for “against the spread.” So an ATS record is simply wins and losses against the spread.
Run Lines & Puck Lines, Defined.
In hockey, a spread is referred to as the “puck line.” In baseball, it’s the “run line.”
The odds are just changed depending on the ability of the team — you won’t get -110 on both sides.
So you’ll get paid less for betting the Yankees -1.5 against the lowly Orioles than you would for betting the Yankees -1.5 against the Astros, when the two teams are more evenly matched.




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